S&P 500 Ends Flat Despite Volatile Trading and Economic Data
Auf einen Blick
- The S&P 500 closed flat despite a volatile trading day influenced by options market dynamics, positive US GDP and inflation data, and mixed stock performances from Micron (up) and Apple (down).
- Options traders' 'long gamma' positions are cited as a stabilizing factor.
KI-generierte Zusammenfassung
Micron up double-digits after earnings.
Positive GDP and inflation data.
Apple down big.
There were plenty of reasons for stocks to post a big move on Thursday, but the S&P 500 ended almost exactly where it closed Wednesday.
Traders faded the overnight rally alongside Micron, sending Nasdaq 100 futures down 3% from their early peak, then bought the dip in the second half. The tech-heavy index ended the session up three-quarters of a percent.
That wild ride to nowhere might be a sign that institutional market-makers own options that pay off with volatility, meaning they'll take profits after big moves – buying back puts when the market dips, and selling calls if the market rips.
That can keep stocks within a range – a phenomena options traders call "long gamma." Dealers, who are normally selling options, might be more comfortable owning cheaper out-of-the-money bets when they're close to expiring, which will happen on Tuesday's June 30 monthly options expiry.
"Right now dealers are long gamma in both index and in top stocks, so that is stabilizing," said Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma, an options analytics service. "The blowup comes with AI repricing, a DeepSeek moment, or if rates are seen going higher."
Bonds were calm Thursday despite U.S. GDP coming in ahead of expectations at 2.1%, and PCE inflation at 4.15%, the highest since April 2023. The long-term Treasury bond ETF TLT moved just three basis points by the close.
Market-makers are likely buying S&P when it starts to slip below 7,200, and selling the index when it rises over 7,400, according to Kochuba's analysis.
