One Nation's surge in Australian polls, from 6% to first/second in some, complicates election predictions. The party's support base shift from traditional Labor/Coalition voters creates uncertainty in preference flows, a key factor in Australia's preferential voting system.
Australia's immigration detention centres face scrutiny over security failures, while US-Iran peace talks advance and Donald Trump faces Republican backlash. Other news includes a fatal shark attack, rising Australian travel to Vietnam, Russia's use of a hypersonic missile in Ukraine, and UK police investigating Prince Andrew.
Australian immigration detention centres face security failures, leading to detainee escapes and staff injuries. Meanwhile, US-Iran peace talks progress, Donald Trump faces Republican criticism, and Australian politics becomes a target for prediction market bets. The EPL concludes with Arsenal winning the title.
US-based prediction market websites like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting significant bets on Australian elections and political events, raising concerns among Australian regulators and gambling harm advocates about potential manipulation and lack of oversight.
US-based prediction market websites like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting significant bets on Australian elections and political events, raising concerns among Australian regulators and gambling harm advocates about potential manipulation and lack of oversight.
More uncounted ballots have been discovered a month on from the South Australian election, the state government says.
