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BackEl Niño Arrives, Potentially Reaching Historic Strength by Year-End
El Niño Arrives, Potentially Reaching Historic Strength by Year-End
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SCMP Economy11.06.2026Environment1 dk okumaChina

El Niño Arrives, Potentially Reaching Historic Strength by Year-End

En resumen

  • El Niño has arrived, with US weather agencies predicting it could intensify into a historic event by year-end.
  • This natural climate phenomenon warms Pacific Ocean temperatures, causing global weather pattern shifts, and is expected to exacerbate existing climate change impacts.

Resumen generado por IA

Por qué importa

El Niño is a natural climate occurrence that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, leading to worldwide changes in winds and rainfall patterns. Scientists expect the current El Niño event to intensify into the end of the year.

Tamaño de fuente

The phenomenon El Nino has arrived, the US weather agency said on Thursday, and scientists expect the pattern synonymous with droughts, floods and soaring temperatures will intensify into the end of the year, potentially to historic strength.

El Nino is a natural climate occurrence that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds and rainfall patterns and erratic weather.

Scientists fear it will exacerbate the heat of a planet already warming from burning fossil fuels, while amping up weather extremes.

“El Nino is here, and it could be one for the history books,” said meteorologist Haley Thiem in an explainer video from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

In its latest advisory, scientists at NOAA said there is a 63 per cent chance “of a very strong El Nino during November-January that would rank among the largest El Nino events in the historical record going back to 1950”.

Every El Nino is different, but major events often follow familiar patterns. This includes drought across parts of the Amazon, Indonesia and Australia, disrupted monsoons in India, and shifting rainfall throughout the tropics.

Qué observar

Perspectiva de IA — posibilidades, no hechos

  • A very strong El Nino event ranking among the largest in historical records since 1950.

    Probable

  • Intensification of El Niño into the end of the year.

    Muy probable

Preguntas abiertas

  • What specific historical events will this El Niño be compared to?
  • What will be the precise economic impacts of the predicted droughts and floods?
  • How will the intensified El Niño affect specific regions beyond those mentioned?
  • What measures are being taken by governments to mitigate the extreme weather events?

Temas relacionados

This article was originally published by SCMP Economy.

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