The 2023 midterm elections pose high stakes for Trump's presidency, as a predicted Democratic House majority could lead to two years of investigations and a potential third impeachment, with Decision Desk HQ forecasting a 224-211 Democratic majority.
Tony Barry and George Megalogenis discuss Barnaby Joyce's viral moment, its appeal to One Nation's base, and historical precedents for the party's electoral performance, alongside concerns on polling's impact on democracy.
Reform UK has instructed its councillors to dismiss a police investigation into £500,000 in donations from Fiona Cottrell as an "establishment stitch-up." This directive comes as YouGov polling indicates a sharp decline in Nigel Farage's popularity and Reform UK's overall support, with Labour and Conservatives closing the gap.
US tariffs and sanctions on Brazil, including measures against criminal gangs and trade practices, are impacting Brazilian voter sentiment ahead of the October presidential election. Incumbent Lula da Silva is campaigning against Flavio Bolsonaro, son of jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro, with US actions becoming a key political issue.
Seoul's mayor was convicted for illegal polling payments, potentially ending his presidential ambitions and leading to his removal from office if the Supreme Court upholds the verdict, just weeks after winning a fifth term.
New analysis for the Guardian by More in Common shows how different UK voting systems would yield vastly different parliamentary seat distributions based on current polling. While FPTP could give Reform UK a near-majority, proportional systems would likely result in hung parliaments and coalition governments, potentially a progressive alliance.
Pauline Hanson's podcast with Tommy Robinson revealed the entertainment value of their shared amplification of grievances and promotion of baseless claims regarding immigration, welfare, and conspiracy theories, drawing criticism from officials.
Pauline Hanson, leader of One Nation, addressed CPAC UK in London, asserting that Australia is following Britain into cultural decline due to mass immigration, multiculturalism, Islam, net zero policies, and "woke" ideology. She also denied a rift with Barnaby Joyce and billing taxpayers for a Dolce & Gabbana fashion show trip.
The Seoul Central District Court found Yoon guilty of violating political funding laws by receiving free polling services and influencing a nomination in return. This ruling can be appealed, and Yoon is currently involved in eight legal cases, including an appeal against a life sentence for insurrection.
One Nation leader Pauline Hanson's right-wing populism is surging in Australian polls, while the progressive Greens party sees its support flatline. This analysis explores why the Greens are failing to connect with voters and suggests strategies for their improvement.
One Nation's surge in Australian polls, from 6% to first/second in some, complicates election predictions. The party's support base shift from traditional Labor/Coalition voters creates uncertainty in preference flows, a key factor in Australia's preferential voting system.
Global institutional investors are increasing their yuan operations, with Hong Kong serving as a key infrastructure hub. Diversification is the main driver for yuan allocation, with most investors planning to increase holdings in the next one to two years.
Germany's far-right AfD party, currently leading in polls, reaffirmed its ambition to govern the country at its national convention in Erfurt. Co-leader Alice Weidel was re-elected, and her supporters secured key positions on the new federal board, signaling a continued hardline strategy and strengthening the party's far-right wing.
Germany's far-right AfD party, currently leading in polls, reaffirmed its ambition to govern at its national convention in Erfurt. Co-leader Alice Weidel was re-elected, and her supporters gained influence on the new federal board, suggesting a continued hardline strategy.
Following Pauline Hanson's speech attacking multiculturalism, climate action, the UN, and the ABC/SBS, her poll numbers have stalled. Even One Nation supporters are reportedly concerned about her policy offerings. Guardian Australia and Essential Media discuss the impact of her pitch.
An abuse survivor feels betrayed after his trial was aborted due to the Christian Brothers' financial issues. A poll shows Australians reject some One Nation policies. Australia's women's cricket team reached the T20 World Cup final.
An Australian parliamentary inquiry has recommended new laws to police behaviour at polling booths after last year's federal election, citing "assaults on democracy" by third parties like the Plymouth Brethren Christian Church and Advance. The Coalition dismissed the findings as a "hyper-partisan witch hunt."
Keiko Fujimori has won Peru's presidential runoff by a slim margin against Roberto Sanchez, vowing to restore "order and hope." The victory marks a win for the Latin American right amid concerns over rising crime and political instability.
Keiko Fujimori, Peru's conservative president-elect, narrowly won the election, becoming the first woman popularly elected to the presidency. She vowed to restore "order and hope" to a country facing organized crime and political instability, marking her fourth attempt and her family's return to power.
Liberal frontbencher Melissa McIntosh suggests the party may need a rebrand to win back voters, as the Coalition hits a new polling low of 17% in Newspoll, with Labor leading at 33% and One Nation at 29%.
Australian theatre faces crisis without federal tax reform; US Supreme Court sparks outrage with rulings on executive power and Trump cases; shared e-bikes to be regulated in Sydney amid community anger.
New Caledonia holds provincial elections with high security amid tensions over its status with France, determining the balance of power for upcoming negotiations.
TikTok influencer Paigelynne Gonyea was visited by ICE agents at a Syracuse polling station on Election Day. The agents claimed she doxxed an ICE officer, but Gonyea denies this, stating her post was protected free speech. Civil liberties experts are concerned about the agents' actions.
A new UK prime minister, potentially Andy Burnham, faces a dilemma: call an early election for a personal mandate, risking Labour seats against Reform UK, or govern without one, risking accusations of illegitimacy. Past leaders' experiences highlight the gamble.
