Business·26/4/2026Resumen IA Oil Spike Threatens Fed Rate Path as Bitcoin Faces Macro Test
Oil prices have spiked due to Middle East tensions, threatening to keep US inflation above the Fed's 2% target and complicating the central bank's rate path. The Strait of Hormuz saw shipping nearly halt on April 20 after warning shots and a ship seizure. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem and New York Fed President John Williams have both warned about inflation pressures from higher energy costs. The Fed meets April 28-29, followed by GDP and PCE data April 30, creating a three-day window that tests the market's easing narrative. Bitcoin, which trades alongside liquidity and rate expectations, may need to reprice if higher-for-longer persists.