The surge in UK 10-year gilt yields from 4.2% to 5% since March is largely attributed to the Iran war and higher oil/gas prices, rather than the Labour leadership crisis, despite political uncertainty.
The UK bond market sees sharp sell-off as Keir Starmer's leadership is challenged, fearing political instability and higher borrowing, reminiscent of Liz Truss's tenure.
There have been extra jitters in UK government debt markets ahead of Thursday's local and national elections.
Rayner and Burnham are trying to gain markets’ confidence amid concerns they could loosen fiscal rules if they replace StarmerWho calls the shots on the bin collections in Sunderland, potholes in Hackney, or schools in Cardiff is not normally of interest to City traders in the multitrillion-pound sovereign bond market.But for those dealing in UK government debt, Thursday’s local and devolved government elections are significantly more important than usual, amid speculation that a dire showing for Keir Starmer’s Labour party could topple him as prime minister. Continue reading...
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned at Norway's sovereign wealth fund conference that rising government debt levels could trigger a bond crisis, urging policymakers to act before markets force their hand. He cited accumulating risks including geopolitics, oil, and government deficits that could combine unpredictably. While expressing confidence in eventual resolution, Dimon emphasized that deliberate policy action is preferable to crisis-driven adjustment.
