10x Research suggests Bitcoin could confirm a bear-market bottom in August with a monthly close above $63,000, contingent on Federal Reserve policy and other market risks like miner selling and geopolitical events. Other analyses from Grayscale and K33 also point to an approaching bottom.
Ether (ETH) is becoming more attractive from a valuation perspective compared to Bitcoin (BTC), trading 17% below its realized price. Onchain data shows improving metrics like declining exchange inflows and rising staking, but only two of CryptoQuant's five bottoming indicators are confirmed, suggesting a definitive market bottom is still forming.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin's market cycle bottom on October 4, 2026, potentially below $50,000, citing current optimism. He expects a peak between $250,000-$300,000 by 2029, favoring Bitcoin and precious metals over AI stocks.
Bitcoin's supply in loss exceeds 50%, a metric historically preceding a market bottom within 101 days. On-chain data suggests the emotional premium from previous bull markets has been priced out, indicating a potential bottom nearing.
Bitcoin's price action is exhibiting "textbook" bear market bottoming behavior, according to analysis by "Frank" on X. Short-term holders are realizing profits, a sign characteristic of a bull market, though some analysts caution against full capitulation.
New analysis from CryptoQuant suggests Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric indicates further price drops are needed for a bear market bottom. The 100-day EMA of NUPL is still above zero, unlike previous cycles, signaling potential for new macro lows.
A Bitcoin miner stress signal has fallen to levels associated with severe miner pressure, potentially indicating a market bottom. Analysts are watching hashprice, difficulty, and miner balance sheets to determine which miners can survive forced BTC sales and wait for difficulty relief.
Bitcoin closed June below its 200-week moving average but above its realized price, a combination that crypto analyst PlanB suggests indicates the market has not yet reached a bear market bottom. Analysts point to historical data and technical indicators, with some speculating a bottom could form later this year or in 2026.
Bitcoin's monthly TD9 indicator has shown its first 'perfected' buy setup since mid-2022, signaling a potential trend change and key inflection phase in the bear market. While not a definitive buy signal, analysts note its significance, especially when combined with bullish RSI divergences across multiple time frames, suggesting a possible bullish comeback.
Long-term Bitcoin investors now hold a record 14.7 million BTC, a metric historically linked to market cycle lows. Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten suggests this could mean an earlier bottom than previous cycles, contrasting with predictions of a late 2026 bottom.
Long-term Bitcoin holders (acquired >5 years ago) are spending at the lowest rate in 19 months (962 BTC/day avg), indicating reduced selling pressure. Analysts suggest market indicators are converging for a potential Bitcoin bottom in September 2026, with newer investors showing signs of capitulation while 'OG' holders remain steadfast.
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing a strong technical setup, holding above $63,000 for three weeks. Derivatives markets are less crowded, ETF outflows have slowed, and on-chain data suggests supply maturation, indicating potential stabilization near a cycle low.
Bitcoin miners are reportedly in a "capitulation" phase, operating on sub-5% margins, a situation historically signaling a prime opportunity to accumulate BTC. Data suggests the current price is near production costs, offering long-term value.
Bitcoin experiences modest relief after recent lows, but traders expect new lows by Q3 or Q4; US inflation data and US-Iran war impact markets, while onchain indicators suggest sell-off easing.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen $2.97 billion in outflows over 10 days, with analysts suggesting this could indicate a market bottom nearing. Meanwhile, Ether ETFs also experienced outflows, while Hyperliquid ETFs saw inflows.
With Bitcoin trading near $82,000, a move back into price-discovery territory depends on whether ETF buyers keep absorbing supply while macro pressure remains contained. That is the practical answer to the two questions shaping the rest of 2026: when can Bitcoin reach a new all-time high, and is the market bottom already in? Bitcoin has […] The post If the bear market bottom is in, when will Bitcoin price reach a new all-time high above $126k? appeared first on CryptoSlate.
