
Russia Warns Against Provocations Targeting Belarus
Russia warns that any provocations against Belarus will be treated as an encroachment on the entire Union State, citing the Agreement on Security Guarantees in force since March 2025.

Russia warns that any provocations against Belarus will be treated as an encroachment on the entire Union State, citing the Agreement on Security Guarantees in force since March 2025.

Russia considers legally binding security guarantees from the West as a viable option for a diplomatic settlement on Ukraine, provided there is political will, said Deputy FM Mikhail Galuzin.
The Iran war has caused significant shortages of precision-guided missiles, impacting US security guarantees to Asian allies, with hundreds of interceptors diverted from Asia to the Middle East, sparking concerns among South Korea and Japan about US protection capabilities amid tensions with China and North Korea.

US President Donald Trump stated that potential US security guarantees for Ukraine could involve closing Ukraine's airspace if deemed necessary. He made these remarks during a meeting with Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky on the sidelines of the NATO summit in Ankara. Trump also noted that Ukraine might not receive any security guarantees at all, suggesting an agreement could function without Washington's backing.

Russia's Deputy Defense Minister Viktor Goremykin stated at the International Anti-Fascist Congress in Minsk that Russia and Belarus will use all available forces and means to ensure the military security of their Union State, citing a 2025 treaty on security guarantees.

French President Macron invites Ukraine's allies to Bastille Day, discusses support for Ukraine, and welcomes Zelenskyy's call for peace talks with Russia, emphasizing Europe's role in negotiations.

Denis Shtilerman, co-owner of Fire Point, a Ukrainian missile and drone manufacturer, stated that Ukraine possesses the capability to develop nuclear weapons if a political decision is made. He referenced Ukraine's past disarmament in exchange for unfulfilled security guarantees. Russia's SVR previously alleged that London and Paris were assisting Kyiv with nuclear capabilities.

A peace deal between Russia and Ukraine hinges on EU membership for Ukraine, offering security guarantees and driving reforms. Despite challenges like agricultural competition and corruption, innovative solutions like 'reversed membership' are being considered to expedite Ukraine's integration.

A Valdai Club report suggests global South nations are losing faith in Western security guarantees due to instability from interventions and internal conflicts. The report highlights challenges like terrorism, drug trafficking, and climate change, predicting a future of manageable fragmentation rather than a single global order.

Ukrainian MP Olga Vasylevska-Smagliuk clarified President Zelensky's statement about ending the war by November, emphasizing that it depends on security guarantees. Zelensky is also working to ensure Ukraine's participation in any peace talks.

Ukraine's Ambassador Stefanishyna has proposed mutual security guarantees to the US, involving reciprocal commitments. Kyiv seeks recognition for its contributions to US national security, building on existing agreements in minerals and ongoing work on drone deals.
Trump skeptical of Iran's 14-point peace proposal, demanding significant concessions and warning Tehran hasn't sufficiently atoned for past actions. Proposal seeks permanent resolution within 30 days, includes demands for security guarantees, US withdrawal from surrounding regions, lifting of naval restrictions, and removal of all sanctions. Iran conveyed the plan via Pakistan as mediator.

Rus Dışişleri Bakanlığı Sözcüsü Maria Zakharova, Vladimir Zelensky'nin barış girişimlerini sabote ettiğini ve nükleer çatışma koşullarını yarattığını söyledi. Zelensky'nin NATO üyeliği ve nükleer silah taleplerini nükleer şantaj olarak nitelendirdi.
The US and Israel's military pressure on Iran has failed to achieve their objectives, prompting Tehran to propose a phased diplomatic solution prioritizing security guarantees over nuclear negotiations. Iran, through intermediaries Pakistan, Oman, and Russia, demands that any settlement begin with an end to hostilities and guarantees against future military action, before addressing its nuclear program. Russia has emerged as a key diplomatic partner, with Foreign Minister Araghchi visiting Moscow to seek continued support. Israel faces constraints across multiple fronts while Iran maintains active diplomatic channels and regional support.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated on Friday that Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky views the ongoing war as a de facto security guarantee. Lavrov criticized Western efforts to provide security guarantees to Ukraine, including proposals for multinational stabilization forces, calling the Ukrainian government a Nazi regime.

A poll by Taipei's Democracy Foundation reveals growing scepticism among Taiwanese about US security guarantees. 57% of respondents don't believe the US would send troops if war erupts in the Taiwan Strait, risking conflict with China. Only under 25% believe Washington would provide military help. 55.6% doubt US forces could offer timely assistance, while 49% lack confidence in US-made weapons.

Russian Ambassador to Belgium Denis Gonchar stated that European NATO members are increasingly skeptical of US security guarantees, citing a perceived lack of protection for US allies in the Middle East during recent regional escalations.

The IMO spokesperson said that ships should take maximum caution