Bitcoin short-term cost basis approaches profitability, but $80K must flip to support first
Crypto markets turned euphoric as BTC traded above $80,000, but a rally through short-term holders’ cost basis is needed to cement the bull trend.

Crypto markets turned euphoric as BTC traded above $80,000, but a rally through short-term holders’ cost basis is needed to cement the bull trend.

The crypto market is in a rough state as July begins, with Bitcoin hovering in the low $60,000s and Ethereum below $1,750. Both assets have seen significant declines, and altcoins are performing even worse. Despite grim sentiment, historical patterns suggest potential for a rebound, though technical indicators present a mixed picture.

A trader invested $85 in CashCat, a meme coin on Robinhood Chain, in June. The investment has since grown to over $2 million, with the trader realizing $585,000 in profits and holding $1.6 million worth of tokens. CashCat's market cap has surged over 1,230% in 24 hours.

Bitcoin surged past $63,000, buoyed by a return of ETF inflows totaling over $500 million. However, rising leverage in derivatives markets and increased exchange supply pose risks to the fragile rebound, suggesting potential vulnerability to market shocks.

Macroeconomist Lyn Alden states Bitcoin is in its weakest sentiment cycle, emphasizing its need to rely on fundamentals. This follows Strategy's $216 million Bitcoin sale, raising concerns about leverage and market dynamics.

US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $500 million in inflows over two trading sessions, ending a streak of outflows. However, demand in the broader spot market remains weak, indicated by a persistent negative Coinbase Premium Index and negative on-chain demand metrics, suggesting a relief rally rather than confirmed accumulation.

BonkDAO's treasury lost approximately $20 million in BONK due to a malicious governance proposal. Attackers reportedly amassed $4 million in BONK before the vote, exploiting low participation and token-weighted approval to bypass security measures. The incident highlights operational security challenges for DAOs.