Crypto asset manager Grayscale suggests Bitcoin's bear market might be over if the Federal Reserve avoids rate hikes, challenging the 'four-year cycle' theory that predicts further price drops. The firm's head of research, Zach Pandl, highlights macro factors as key drivers, with a Fed rate decision due in six days.
Bitcoin's supply in loss exceeds 50%, a metric historically preceding a market bottom within 101 days. On-chain data suggests the emotional premium from previous bull markets has been priced out, indicating a potential bottom nearing.
Le drawdown, mesure de la baisse maximale d'un actif, est essentiel en gestion du risque. Il illustre qu'un gain de +100% ne compense pas toujours une perte de -50%, soulignant l'importance de limiter les baisses pour préserver la valeur composée d'un portefeuille.
Real Vision crypto analyst Jamie Coutts believes Bitcoin is entering the latter stages of its bear market, with downside momentum slowing. While trend indicators remain bearish, early technical signs suggest easing selling pressure. Coutts forecasts Bitcoin to reach $200k-$250k in 2-3 years, citing AI and quantum computing as future factors.
Bitcoin's price action is exhibiting "textbook" bear market bottoming behavior, according to analysis by "Frank" on X. Short-term holders are realizing profits, a sign characteristic of a bull market, though some analysts caution against full capitulation.
New analysis from CryptoQuant suggests Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric indicates further price drops are needed for a bear market bottom. The 100-day EMA of NUPL is still above zero, unlike previous cycles, signaling potential for new macro lows.
Bitcoin closed June below its 200-week moving average but above its realized price, a combination that crypto analyst PlanB suggests indicates the market has not yet reached a bear market bottom. Analysts point to historical data and technical indicators, with some speculating a bottom could form later this year or in 2026.
Bitcoin is entering the second half of the year under pressure as key support systems weaken. ETF outflows, potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, and uncertainty around the CLARITY Act pose challenges, potentially determining if Bitcoin rebounds to $100,000 or retests $50,000-$55,000.
Despite a prolonged bear market for Chinese stocks, with the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) down 18% and KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) down over 40%, options traders are making significant bullish bets on a rebound, particularly in KWEB, signaling a potential shift in sentiment.
Bitcoin is approaching a key buy-in level, the aggregate realized price around $53,300, which has historically marked bear-market bottoms. Analysts suggest this could be a prime investment opportunity if BTC dips below this level, with some predicting a potential further drop.
L'action MicroStrategy (MSTR) subit une 11ème baisse mensuelle sur 12, sous-performant le Bitcoin en raison de son effet de levier. Malgré l'achat de nouveaux BTC, le cours de MSTR reflète le marché baissier, inquiétant les investisseurs quant à sa capacité d'achat future.
Plus de 550 000 BTC ont été déposés sur Binance et OKX, les flux les plus élevés depuis 2023, signalant une potentielle pression à la vente. Cela coïncide avec une transparence accrue des plateformes et une consolidation de leurs réserves de bitcoins.
Bitcoin UTXO analysis indicates investor capitulation, historically a bear market bottom signal, as the profit-loss ratio hits its lowest this cycle, mirroring the 2023 bottom at $26,000.
Despite a prolonged crypto bear market and significant job cuts, mergers and acquisitions in the digital asset sector reached $9.37 billion in H1 2026. This consolidation is fueled by traditional financial institutions seeking established infrastructure and regulatory clarity, alongside blockchain networks acquiring consumer-facing applications, while the workforce shifts towards AI and compliance expertise.
Swell, a liquid staking protocol, is shutting down its Ethereum Layer 2 chain (Swellchain) due to slower growth and cheaper Ethereum transactions, prompting users to bridge assets by June 23 to avoid potential unrecoverability.
Strategy, l'entreprise de Michael Saylor, a acquis 520 BTC supplémentaires, portant ses réserves à 847 363 BTC. Pendant ce temps, le Bitcoin évolue au-dessus de 60 000 $ et pourrait viser les 73 000 $, malgré une fragilité à court terme.
Un accord de paix entre l'Iran et les États-Unis, ainsi que la réouverture du détroit d'Hormuz, ont apaisé les marchés. Le pétrole chute, les indices américains et le Bitcoin rebondissent, mais la prudence reste de mise face aux zones de résistance techniques.
New research from Galaxy Digital suggests Bitcoin's cycle low may occur at higher price levels than in past bear markets, potentially between $62,000 and $53,600. Analysis indicates a less speculative market and a 'calm top' could raise the floor, though demand data shows a cautious picture.
US stocks declined Wednesday, with the tech sector leading the fall. Traders are assessing potential losses, with options markets pricing in a 21% chance of the S&P 500 hitting a bear market level and a 32% chance for the Nasdaq 100.
Bitcoin is approaching its realized price, a key indicator for market bottoms, but demand is weakening, evidenced by significant Bitcoin ETF outflows and a contraction in speculative and spot demand, according to CryptoQuant.
Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to week-to-date lows, trading below $64,200 and testing the $60,000 support. Analysts suggest $65,000 is a crucial level for bulls to reclaim, while similarities to past bear markets are noted. Oil prices also fell on renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal.
Bitcoin experiences modest relief after recent lows, but traders expect new lows by Q3 or Q4; US inflation data and US-Iran war impact markets, while onchain indicators suggest sell-off easing.
Bitcoin fell below $64,000, marking its worst weekly loss of 2026. Analysts suggest $60,000 is a critical support level, with current price action mirroring the 2022 bear market.
Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen to its lowest point in four months, touching the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) at $61,626, a level that previously acted as resistance during the 2022 bear market. The cryptocurrency's daily RSI is nearing its most oversold levels since 2020, sparking discussions about potential rebounds and accumulation.
