
瑞银大幅上调台湾GDP增长预测至11%
瑞银集团(UBS)将台湾今年GDP增长预测大幅上调至11%,远高于之前的9.9%。此预测得益于人工智能热潮超预期发展,影响范围从科技行业扩展至出口、资本投资和国内需求。

瑞银集团(UBS)将台湾今年GDP增长预测大幅上调至11%,远高于之前的9.9%。此预测得益于人工智能热潮超预期发展,影响范围从科技行业扩展至出口、资本投资和国内需求。

The IMF has maintained its projection of 1.1% GDP growth for Russia in 2026 and 2027, unchanged from its April estimates. The report also noted Russia's GDP grew 4.9% in 2024 and is expected to grow 1% in 2025.
Goldman Sachs increases India's 2026 real GDP growth forecast to 6.8% from 6.5%, citing lower oil prices, easing supply disruptions, and resilient domestic demand post-US-Iran peace deal, also raising FY27 forecast to 6.5%.

The Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) has revised its forecast for Russia's GDP growth, lowering it to 1% for 2026 from a previous 1.4%. Projections indicate a 1.5% growth in 2027, accelerating to 1.8% in 2028. The bank also anticipates the Russian Central Bank's key rate to reach 12% by end-2026.

The World Bank lowered its 2026 global GDP growth forecast to 2.5% from 2.6%, citing high oil prices due to the Iran-Israel conflict. Growth could slow to 2.1% if energy prices remain high, or plummet to 1.3% if financial markets are strained. The bank plans to provide $50-60 billion in aid to developing countries.

Germany's Council of Economic Experts forecasts a mere 0.5% GDP growth in 2026 and 0.8% in 2027, with inflation rising to 3%, prompting concerns over the country's economic competitiveness and structural issues like an aging population.

Die EU-Kommission hat ihre BIP-Wachstumsprognose für Deutschland 2026 auf 0,6% halbiert, wegen hoher Energiepreise infolge des Iran-Kriegs. Die EU-Gesamtprognose wurde ebenfalls gesenkt.

The European Commission has revised its economic outlook for Russia, increasing the projected GDP growth for 2026 from 1.1% to 1.3% while lowering the 2027 forecast from 1.2% to 1.1%.