IPL playoff scenarios: MI, LSG first teams out; RCB surge to 94.82% probability

Royal Challengers Bengaluru became IPL 2026’s strongest playoff favourites after their last-ball win over Mumbai Indians, reaching a 94.82% qualification probability and 63.41% chance of a top-two finish. SRH, GT and PBKS also remain strong contenders, while CSK revived their campaign. Rajasthan Royals and KKR still have hope, but Delhi Capitals face slim chances. Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants are officially out of playoff contention.