Despite President Trump's announcement of upcoming US-Iran negotiation talks, Kalshi traders remain largely pessimistic about a nuclear deal materializing soon. Odds for a deal before 2027 increased after military strikes were called off but dropped again after talks were announced, with most markets remaining under 50% likelihood.
A purported US-Iran nuclear deal faces significant discrepancies, with President Trump announcing concessions like future inspections, while Iranian officials deny agreeing to such terms and emphasize ongoing negotiations.
US-Iran talks in Switzerland focused on "all elements of the nuclear deal" and implementation of a memorandum of understanding (MOU) for an immediate cessation of hostilities, according to Axios reporter Barak Ravid citing a US diplomatic source.
US lawmakers and pro-Israel groups are calling on President Trump to submit a recent memorandum of understanding with Iran to Congress for review, citing the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) as precedent. The act requires congressional review of agreements related to Iran's nuclear program.
A new agreement between the US and Iran signals a return to diplomatic talks regarding Iran's nuclear program. Analysts suggest this involves nuclear restrictions in exchange for sanctions relief and oil waivers, resuming a track previously halted by conflict.
Donald Trump a confié à son vice-président, J.D. Vance, la tâche de promouvoir et de négocier le protocole d'accord sur le nucléaire iranien, dont la phase technique débutera en Suisse.
US President Donald Trump announced Israel has received a draft Iran nuclear deal, with technical talks on stockpiles to begin immediately. He warned of renewed military strikes if Iran breaches the agreement and outlined parallel diplomatic efforts with Gulf nations on missiles and proxy groups.
A 2015 tweet by Donald Trump criticizing Barack Obama's Iran nuclear deal has resurfaced after details of Trump's own agreement with Iran leaked, prompting criticism for preserving Iran's nuclear program 'status quo'
A leaked 14-point document outlines a US-Iran framework deal: Iran pledges no nuclear weapons, reopening Strait of Hormuz; US offers $300bn fund, sanctions relief. Deal veracity unconfirmed, Trump expresses irritation.
Iran and US negotiations on nuclear issues and sanctions relief are set to begin following a memorandum of understanding. This framework has already impacted oil prices, with Brent crude and WTI falling, and has created a complex outlook for Bitcoin, whose future performance is now closely linked to the negotiation's outcome over the next 60 days.
وزير الخارجية التركي مولود جاويش أوغلو ونظيره الروسي سيرغي لافروف يجتمعان في موسكو لمناقشة الاتفاق النووي الإيراني، الحرب في أوكرانيا، والوضع في جنوب القوقاز. أكد فيدان استعداد تركيا لاستضافة مفاوضات السلام حول أوكرانيا.
President Trump announced Iran agreed to never acquire nuclear weapons, but key details of the deal, including a reported $300 billion reconstruction fund, remain unclear. Conflicting statements from US officials and Iran highlight significant uncertainties regarding uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, and the nature of the economic package.
Conflicting reports surround a new Iran nuclear agreement, with US President Trump claiming Iran will never acquire nuclear weapons. Uncertainty persists regarding a reported $300 billion reconstruction fund, uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, and asset releases, with both US and Iranian officials offering differing interpretations.
US official Vance stated that Iran could be welcomed into the world economy and sanctions lifted if they commit to giving up nuclear weapons with verification. Otherwise, economic pressure will continue. He also refuted reports of immediate asset unfreezing or reconstruction payments.
US President Trump announced a deal with Iran to end the war and open the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, June 14, 2026, but Tehran has not confirmed the signing date. Despite progress, disagreements remain, and hardliners in Iran oppose concessions.
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated the agency is prepared to verify any nuclear agreement between the U.S. and Iran, emphasizing verification's centrality. He also highlighted the NPT's importance and the growing global consideration of nuclear energy.
A senior Trump administration official expressed confidence that a deal to end the war with Iran will be signed in the coming days, potentially leading to the destruction of Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles. Technical details are still being finalized.
A US official revealed that an upcoming understanding with Iran will allow Washington to obtain Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, with the agreement stipulating the destruction and removal of these materials. The deal, which includes Lebanon, Gulf states, and Israel, aims to reopen straits, dismantle Iran's nuclear program, and ensure regional peace.
A senior US official stated that a US-Iran deal includes dismantling Iran's nuclear program and ending its funding of terrorist groups. The official described it as a "performance-based deal," while Iran previously insisted on the release of frozen funds and denied funding terrorism.
Donald Trump claims he can negotiate a superior Iran nuclear deal than Obama's JCPOA, but current tentative agreements, possibly a 60-day ceasefire extension, lack specifics on nuclear material and involve less experienced negotiators, raising doubts about his ability to secure a better outcome.
News highlights include Russia's dismissal of IAEA report on ZNPP blasts, Moscow and St. Petersburg piloting road accident reforms, and Kremlin concerns over US-Iran escalation. Russia also addresses Transnistria tensions and awaits US ambassador appointment. Iran seeks war end over normalized US relations, with Qatar mediating a deal proposal. Trade between Russia and Kazakhstan increased 16%. US diplomat claims US gives Ukraine carte blanche for attacks inside Russia, while Russia claims troop advances in Ukraine. Former German diplomat regrets missed 2021 talks with Russia. Putin states Russia sought to stop war in Ukraine for eight years. US VP states Iran won't get funds for simply signing a deal. British PM faces no plans to step down after resignations.
US Secretary of State Rubio defended the Trump administration's foreign policy and budget proposals in congressional hearings. Iran's nuclear program was a key focus, with Rubio stating negotiations are difficult and a deal is not guaranteed. He also addressed budget cuts to diplomacy and increases to defense spending.
Donald Trump, "Pod Force One" programında İran ile nükleer anlaşma konusunda ilerleme kaydettiklerini ve liderleri Mücteba Hamaney ile görüşmek istediğini belirtti. Netanyahu'ya sert çıkışını doğrulayan Trump, ABD ekonomisinin benzin fiyatları hariç iyi durumda olduğunu savundu.
Despite claims of progress, US-Iran talks on a nuclear deal and ending conflict remain stalled over uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Both sides express cautious optimism but highlight major sticking points.
