The Federal Reserve is now treating stablecoins as a potential dollar transmission channel, integrating them into its research agenda on the dollar's international role. This shift moves stablecoins beyond mere crypto trading tools, prompting the Fed to examine their impact on dollar funding, payment systems, and the broader financial system.
Bitcoin faces potential declines toward $60,000 following the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in 17 years. Historical data suggests Bitcoin averages a 5.74% drop in the 30 days after BoJ rate increases, with potential downside targets between $62,700 and $56,700.
Bitwise suggests Bitcoin's recent price drop reflects a broader 'risk-off' market adjustment, acting as a 'canary in the macro coal mine' before traditional assets like the Nasdaq and KOSPI. Despite expanding global liquidity, BTC has repriced significantly, indicating it may be further along in its adjustment than equities. On-chain data shows stablecoin reserves remain high, signaling potential buying power on the sidelines.
Bitcoin's price is argued to be undervalued compared to global liquidity (M2 money supply), with historical data suggesting a potential aggressive rebound, though critics cite flaws in the correlation and precedence of BTC's four-year price cycle.
