Trump faces choice between capitulation or 'forever war' as Iran holds Strait of Hormuz
US faces historic 'strategic defeat' five months after launching Iran war at Israel's behest, Middle East observers say.
En resumen
Five months into the US-Iran war, experts warn Donald Trump faces capitulation or a 'forever war' as Iran maintains its grip on the Strait of Hormuz, rejecting military pressure and continuing regional escalation.
Resumen generado por IA
Por qué importa
The US launched a war against Iran five months ago at Israel's behest. Iran holds leverage over the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz.
The United States is staring a historic “strategic defeat” in the face five months after launching the Iran war at Israel’s behest, according to Middle East observers.
The Islamic Republic is unlikely to fully relinquish its new-found hegemony over the Strait of Hormuz, despite US President Donald Trump’s rhetorical mix of daily ultimatums and optimism about a deal, they say. Doing so would be giving up its leverage over the global economy – by far its greatest weapon in a war it cannot win militarily.
Having concluded that its June 17 memorandum of understanding with the US is all but dead, Iran is prepared to absorb all the military punishment the Trump administration can dish out.
Far from capitulating, the Revolutionary Guards and their Axis of Resistance allies across the Middle East have continued to escalate the conflict, targeting energy infrastructure and supply chains in the Red Sea, Suez Canal and the eastern Mediterranean. Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt have all been targeted, and Syria could be next.
Late on Wednesday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said negotiations with Oman on a proposed reopening of the strait were “forward-looking” and a deal would be struck “if certain third parties do not obstruct this process”.
Qué observar
Perspectiva de IA — posibilidades, no hechos
Iran will continue targeting energy infrastructure in the Middle East.
Probable · En semanas
Preguntas abiertas
- Will third parties obstruct the Oman negotiations?
- Will Syria be targeted next in the escalating conflict?
