Japan's Bitbank warns crypto users that transactions with prediction markets like Polymarket may lead to account suspension due to potential conflicts with gambling laws. The exchange cited concerns over betting on future events for financial gain.
Une étude sur Polymarket révèle que 12,6% des adresses génèrent 81,4% du volume, soulignant l'avantage des traders méthodiques sur les marchés de prédiction, une alternative au trading crypto impulsif.
Une étude révèle que les utilisateurs américains participent activement aux marchés de prédiction offshore non réglementés, malgré les interdictions. Ces plateformes, souvent accessibles via VPN, représentent une part significative du marché mondial, estimée à plusieurs milliards de dollars, et pourraient atteindre 133 milliards d'ici 2030. La concurrence s'intensifie avec le développement des plateformes locales réglementées.
O UFC construiu uma estrutura de 28 metros no Jardim Sul para o evento "UFC Freedom 250" com Donald Trump, que contará com 14 lutadores e assentos para 4.500 convidados. O evento celebra o 250º aniversário da independência dos EUA.
O UFC está construindo uma estrutura de 28 metros de altura no Jardim Sul para um evento com Donald Trump, que incluirá um ringue octogonal para 14 lutadores e assentos para 4.500 convidados. O evento, chamado "UFC Freedom 250", celebra o 250º aniversário da independência dos EUA e terá telões gigantes na Elipse para o público.
A Rutgers University study estimates US traders are responsible for about 30% of Polymarket's trading volume, funneling $10.6-$26.7 billion through the crypto-based platform, which is banned in the US. US traders reportedly use VPNs to bypass the ban, with a special forces soldier recently charged for using insider information on the platform.
A US soldier is accused of insider trading on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, by betting on the fall of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro using classified information. This marks the first prosecution of its kind.
South Korea's Gangwon Provincial Police Agency is investigating domestic Polymarket users for illegal gambling on election outcomes, tracing crypto transactions, with potential fines up to 10 million won ($6,500).
South Korean police investigate local Polymarket users for illegal gambling, with potential fines up to 10 million won ($6,500), amid global regulatory scrutiny of decentralized prediction markets.
US Rep. Bryan Steil plans to amend a congressional stock ban bill to include prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, citing concerns over insider trading on elections and public policy.
A Polymarket contract on whether Strategy sold Bitcoin by May 31 resolved to 'No' despite a later disclosure of a sale, sparking concerns over the platform's token-weighted dispute resolution system and potential manipulation.
Polymarket is ending its contract with George Santos as federal regulators investigate him for allegedly betting against his own attendance at a State of the Union address. The probe by the CFTC stems from suspicious trades detected on Kalshi.
O ex-deputado George Santos está sob investigação por suposto uso de informação privilegiada em um mercado de previsões online, a Kalshi. A plataforma o reportou ao Departamento de Justiça e à CFTC após detectar negociações suspeitas antes do discurso de Trump em 24 de fevereiro.
A $150 million prediction market on Polymarket is in chaos after the platform denied payouts for a correctly predicted Bitcoin sale by Strategy, citing a confirmation date technicality. The dispute exposes flaws in decentralized market resolution mechanisms and has led to accusations of manipulation.
Polymarket faces backlash after resolving a bet on Michael Saylor's Strategy selling Bitcoin as 'NO' despite confirmation of a sale. Traders lost millions, citing rule changes.
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has executed its first institutional block trade related to AI compute infrastructure. The six-figure transaction involved FalconX and Anera Labs trading on a contract tracking Nvidia's H100 GPU chip rental pricing.
Bitcoin fell 3.7% to $69,300 after MicroStrategy sold 32 BTC, its first sale since 2022. NEAR and WLD led altcoin gains, while a dispute arose over a Polymarket bet resolution. Charles Schwab targets 2027 for crypto trading.
Polymarket users are in dispute with the prediction market platform over the resolution of a bet concerning MicroStrategy's Bitcoin sale. Despite MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin between May 26-31, the market resolved to 'No' due to the disclosure timing, causing user frustration.
A Polymarket prediction market on whether MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin by May 31 is in dispute. While the sale occurred, the announcement was made after the deadline, leading to a disagreement among users and an upcoming UMA vote for resolution.
Especialistas alertam que plataformas de previsão, como Polymarket e Kalshi, não são um bom termômetro para a disputa presidencial brasileira, apesar de serem usadas nas redes sociais. O governo brasileiro bloqueou o acesso a esses sites, que operam como derivativos financeiros, mas políticos e influenciadores de direita continuam a divulgar seus dados como contraponto às pesquisas tradicionais. No entanto, o mercado de apostas reflete mais o comportamento de operadores sofisticados e pode ser manipulado, diferentemente das pesquisas eleitorais.
Wintermute, a major crypto market maker, is providing two-sided liquidity to prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, aiming to tighten spreads and support larger trades, enhancing the reliability of event probability estimates.
Ein 36-jähriger italienischer Google-Ingenieur mit Wohnsitz in der Schweiz wurde wegen Insiderhandels auf der Wettplattform Polymarket angeklagt. Er nutzte vertrauliche Google-Daten, um auf die meistgesuchten Begriffe zu wetten und erzielte Gewinne von 1,2 Millionen Dollar.
Michele Spagnuolo, a 36-year-old Italian Google software engineer, is charged with using insider information to rig bets on Polymarket, earning $1.2m in profits, highlighting regulatory concerns over prediction markets.
Michele Spagnuolo, a Google software engineer, is charged with insider trading, wire fraud, and money laundering for allegedly using Google's confidential 'Year in Search' data to win over $1.2 million on prediction market Polymarket.
