Vietnam Faces Dilemma Over US Pressure on Cuba
Hanoi must balance its 60-year friendship with Havana against its vital partnership with Washington.
L'essentiel
- Vietnam faces a foreign policy test as the US increases pressure on Cuba.
- Hanoi must decide how to support its 60-year ally without jeopardizing its crucial partnership with Washington, especially after the fall of Venezuela's support for Cuba.
Résumé généré par IA
Pourquoi c'est important
The US has indicted former Cuban president Raul Castro and sanctioned his successor, suggesting a policy of regime change. This comes as Cuba faces its worst socio-economic crisis since the 1990s after Venezuela's support was severed.
Asian AngleWhen the US comes for Cuba, what can Vietnam do?
Vietnam has stood by Cuba for 60 years. Now Washington is raising the price of that friendship – and Hanoi must decide what it’s worth
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Published: 3:00pm, 20 Jun 2026
The Trump administration’s indictment of former Cuban president Raul Castro and sanctions on his successor, Miguel Diaz-Canel, suggest Washington now views regime change in Havana as a viable policy objective.
This adds to Cuba’s mounting woes. The fall of Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro in January severed the subsidised oil lifeline that had long kept the island nation afloat, plunging Cuba into its worst socio-economic crisis since the 1990s.
For most countries, this is a distant problem. For Vietnam, it is a test of friendship, resolve and foreign policy judgment.
Hanoi and Havana have been close allies for six decades, bound by a shared struggle against imperialism, ideological affinity and genuine camaraderie. Cuba’s predicament presents Vietnam with a dilemma: how to stand by a long-standing comrade without jeopardising the vital partnership it has painstakingly built with Washington.
For most of those six decades, supporting Cuba came at little cost. Havana’s troubles were chronic rather than existential, US pressure was intermittent and symbolic gestures – a UN vote here, a shipment of rice there – were enough to sustain the friendship.
À surveiller
Perspective IA — des possibilités, pas des certitudes
Vietnam will likely maintain symbolic support for Cuba while prioritizing its US partnership.
Probable · Court terme
Questions ouvertes
- What specific actions will Vietnam take?
- What is the cost of Vietnam's friendship with Cuba?
- How will US-Vietnam relations be affected?
