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Back年底百里侯選戰開打 民進黨展現團結氣勢力拚翻轉新北竹縣台東
年底百里侯選戰開打 民進黨展現團結氣勢力拚翻轉新北竹縣台東
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

年底百里侯選戰開打 民進黨展現團結氣勢力拚翻轉新北竹縣台東

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年底百里侯選戰正式開打,民進黨評估展現前後任『台灣隊長』蔡英文、賴清德合體的團結氣勢,可望拉抬整體選情,將在國民黨長期執政的新北、竹縣、台東力拚翻轉,並在台南、屏東、嘉縣、高雄等執政縣市築起堅固灘頭堡,全力防堵對手進逼。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

年底將進行九合一地方選舉,百里侯選區為關鍵戰場。民進黨希望透過黨內團結與執政績效,在國民黨長期執政的新北、新竹縣、台東縣實現翻轉,同時鞏固台南、屏東、嘉義縣、高雄市等傳統執政基礎。

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年底百里侯選戰正式開打,藍綠傳統版圖如何重組備受矚目。綠營評估,有別於藍白陣營在多個縣市面臨整合破局與黨內互打,民進黨展現前後任「台灣隊長」蔡英文、賴清德合體的團結氣勢,可望拉抬整體選情,將在國民黨長期執政的新北、竹縣、台東力拚翻轉,並在台南、屏東、嘉縣、高雄等執政縣市築起堅固灘頭堡,全力防堵對手進逼。

南高屏嘉縣 築起堅固灘頭堡

針對國民黨已執政逾廿年的指標戰區新北市,黨內人士表示,民進黨新北市長候選人蘇巧慧上週六競選總部成立,支持者在大雨中堅持不離開,加上前總統蔡英文、總統賴清德同台力挺,高雄市長陳其邁北上站台,都展現民進黨「強強聯手、正面迎戰」的團結氣勢,後續各縣市候選人成立競總,都可望迎來「天王級助選團」的推薦。

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黨內人士直言,國民黨不只在新竹縣與民眾黨「藍白合」觸礁,在彰化縣等地也面臨內亂;原先被看好為「藍營母雞」的蔣萬安則是自顧不暇。

輔選人士也認為,民進黨這次整體氣勢不錯,可望帶動全國選情。他提到,新北市長侯友宜陪同市長候選人李四川登記參選,對是否接任主委卻語帶保留;相較於民進黨各派系全力整合力挺蘇巧慧,展現翻轉決心,藍營內部力挺李四川的力道顯有落差。

國民黨鬧出分裂危機的新竹縣,同樣是藍營執政逾廿年的縣市,也被輔選人士視為爆發力極強的選區,隨著「藍白合」破局鬧僵,國民黨候選人徐欣瑩與副縣長陳見賢嫌隙未解,民進黨候選人鄭朝方憑藉竹北市長亮眼的政績,以「竹北經驗、竹縣實現」打動不少選民。

至於東台灣藍營票倉,輔選人士認為,台東縣隨著最大變數劉櫂豪整合、賴坤成充分合作,各派系已整合就緒,台東縣長候選人陳瑩與其父親也全力補強原住民族的票源,加上國民黨對手吳秀華涉特權拓寬農路弊案,陳瑩後勢可期。至於花蓮縣,無黨籍議長張竣持續鴨子划水、擴大基層實力,後續仍大有可為。

談到綠營長期執政縣市,綠營也有信心守住。黨內人士表示,「選對人、會做事,就能改變一座城市」,面對新北市政長年的沉痾,相信選民已有「換人做做看」的期待;南部縣市的執政品質歷經檢驗,加上過去韓國瑜參選高雄市長引發的爭議記憶猶新,相信選民會持續選擇民進黨堅持的治理路線。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 民進黨將在新北市、台東縣獲得顯著選票成長

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 國民黨在新竹縣將面臨內部整合困難,影響選情

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 民進黨在新北市的具體競選策略是什麼?
  • 國民黨在新竹縣內部糾紛將如何影響選情?
  • 台東縣原住民票源的動向將如何影響選舉結果?

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