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Back月薪不到6萬、零經驗!她靠「5大選股條件」7年滾出1400萬
月薪不到6萬、零經驗!她靠「5大選股條件」7年滾出1400萬
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自由时报3 hours agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

月薪不到6萬、零經驗!她靠「5大選股條件」7年滾出1400萬

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日本YouTube部落客Fuyuko月薪不到30萬日圓(約新台幣6萬)、幾乎無投資經驗,起步僅買2股,透過長期持有並以獲利能力、營業利潤率、ROE、現金流與股息為選股條件,7年累積資產達7500萬日圓(約新台幣1400萬)。

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Why It Matters

Fuyuko起步月薪不到30萬日圓,幾乎無投資經驗,初始投資僅2股,透過長期持有與財務條件篩選,7年資產成長至7500萬日圓。

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月薪不到6萬、零經驗!她靠「5大選股條件」7年滾出1400萬。(資料照)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕月薪不到30萬日圓(約新台幣6萬)、幾乎沒有投資經驗,起步時甚至只買進2股,沒想到7年後總資產竟累積至7500萬日圓(約新台幣1400萬)。日本人氣YouTube部落客兼節儉達人Fuyuko,主要透過指數投資與高股息股票累積財富,她分享自己的選股方法指出,與其追逐短線飆股,她更重視企業能否長期維持獲利、營業利潤率、ROE、現金流與股息5個選股條件,尋找能夠安心持有20至30年的優質股。

日媒報導,Fuyuko表示,她買股票的基本原則是「永不賣出」,因此選股時會先從財務數據著手,逐步剔除條件不符合的企業。她會參考雅虎財經的股息殖利率排名,再回頭檢視企業過去約15年的財務報表,其中一項重要條件,就是排除曾經多次虧損的公司。

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在她眼中,若是以長期持有為前提,企業能否長時間穩定獲利相當重要。她指出,在高股息股票中,有不少企業過去曾多次出現虧損,因此若能找到長期未出現虧損的公司,投資範圍就能大幅縮小,也更容易找到她認為具有長期投資價值的標的。

完成第1輪篩選後,Fuyuko還會觀察企業的營業利潤率。她偏好營業利潤率達10%以上的公司,即使是製造業,只要能維持10%以上的水準,也會被視為值得研究的候選企業。不過,如果目前尚未達到10%,但營業利潤率持續成長,她也不會直接排除。

除了獲利能力,Fuyuko也會檢查股東權益報酬率(ROE),並以8%作為參考標準,同時重視權益比率是否高於50%。她認為,權益比率較高代表企業財務基礎相對穩健,因此也是判斷公司財務健康的重要指標。

經營現金流同樣是她篩選企業時的重要觀察項目。由於經營現金流反映公司核心業務實際產生現金的能力,她會偏好每年都能維持正數的企業;如果經營現金流時常轉為負數,則會認為企業穩定性不足,排除在投資範圍之外。

最後則是股息。Fuyuko偏好每年固定配發股利,或者股利能夠穩定成長的公司。透過獲利、營業利潤率、ROE、權益比率、經營現金流與股息等條件逐步篩選,她表示,原本數千檔上市股票,最後可以縮減至不到100檔。

篩選出候選企業後,她還會進一步閱讀公司的宣傳冊與投資人關係資料,確認企業的營運風險。如果公司營收高度依賴特定企業或特定國家,她就會進一步研究相關風險;若高度依賴某一家合作夥伴,甚至會調查對方的財務狀況。

至於優質股票價格可能偏高,是否仍適合小額投資?Fuyuko認為,關鍵不一定是股票本身是否昂貴,而是等待市場出現整體性下跌的時機。她指出,新冠疫情衝擊等日本整體經濟低迷時期,市場可能出現全面下跌,即使企業本身的品質沒有改變,股價下跌也會讓股息殖利率相對提高。

因此,當市場出現下跌時,她會從事先整理好的「財務狀況良好公司名單」中尋找標的,但前提仍是符合自己的風險承受能力。

回頭看自己的投資起點,Fuyuko透露,自己第1檔買進的股票是「沖繩行動電話公司」。當時她約有500萬日圓(約新台幣100萬)資產,月薪不到30萬日圓,並沒有投入大量資金,而是先買進2股,買入價格約5000日圓(約新台幣1000元),之後再逐步增加持股。

從一開始的小額嘗試,到7年後累積超過7000萬日圓資產,Fuyuko強調的並不是靠1檔股票暴賺,而是透過財務條件層層篩選企業,再等待合適時機買進,並以長期持有的思維看待投資。

一手掌握經濟脈動 點我訂閱自由財經Youtube頻道

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 符合Fuyuko選股條件的股票在未來市場下跌時將提供較高股息殖利率

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • Fuyuko的投資組合具體包含哪些股票?
  • 她的選股條件在不同市場週期中的表現如何?
  • 她是否曾經歷過重大虧損?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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