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Back沈伯洋台北市長民調差距縮至個位數 吳思瑤:8至9月前進逾10個百分點
沈伯洋台北市長民調差距縮至個位數 吳思瑤:8至9月前進逾10個百分點
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自由时报17 minutes agoPolitics6 min readChinaView translation

沈伯洋台北市長民調差距縮至個位數 吳思瑤:8至9月前進逾10個百分點

沈伯洋競選總幹事吳思瑤在東京證實,民進黨中央9月最新內部民調顯示,沈伯洋與蔣萬安差距已縮至個位數。沈伯洋坦言感到非常緊張,強調選戰將進入激烈攻防。

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沈伯洋競選總幹事吳思瑤在東京證實,民進黨9月內部民調顯示,台北市長參選人沈伯洋與蔣萬安的差距已縮小至不到10個百分點。沈伯洋表示進入個位數差距後非常緊張,預告對手將開始反擊。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台北市長選戰持續進行,現任市長蔣萬安尋求連任,民進黨則派出沈伯洋挑戰。

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台北市長選情出現拉近訊號,沈伯洋競選總幹事吳思瑤今天在東京證實,民進黨中央9月最新內部民調顯示,沈伯洋從參選之初落後20多個百分點,一路追趕至目前不到10個百分點,且光是8月至9月就前進超過10個百分點。沈伯洋則坦言,看到民調不是興奮而是「非常緊張」,因為進入個位數差距後,「對方也會開始反擊」。

資深媒體人邱明玉昨天率先在政論節目披露,民進黨台北市長參選人沈伯洋的內部民調顯示,與尋求連任的現任市長蔣萬安差距已縮至個位數。據她描述,沈伯洋團隊與民進黨高層召開內部民調會議時,看到最新數據相當振奮,甚至有人跳起來歡呼。

吳思瑤今天隨沈伯洋赴東京參加「沈伯洋市長日本後援會全日本大會」,在會中透露這項好消息。沈伯洋致詞時也提到,自己一開始「落後快30%、20%,有夠慘」,當時很多人甚至認為「沈伯洋能幹什麼?」如今追趕速度雖然很快,但看到最新數字,「其實我感受到非常的緊張」。

沈伯洋表示,一旦追進個位數,意味對手也會感受到壓力並開始反擊,選戰將真正進入激烈攻防階段。他還開玩笑說,對方也會緊張,講話就會愈來愈認真,但這就是他緊張的地方,「因為蔣萬安一旦認真,台北可能會扛不住」。

吳思瑤在會後受訪時進一步表示,出國前才收到民進黨中央一份競選團隊「最信任」、於9月進行的最新民調,結果顯示沈伯洋參選3個多月以來,已從原本落後兩位數、20多個百分點,追趕至差距不到10個百分點,「進入個位數的最終決戰差距」。

吳思瑤坦言,追趕速度超出團隊預期,我們原本沒有預期到,在9月初就能夠出現這麼大幅度的拉近。她表示,尤其從8月至9月,沈伯洋的支持度大幅前進超過10個百分點,顯示持續端出政策、傾聽市民聲音,以及採取正向選舉策略,逐步獲得台北市民青睞。

吳思瑤也透露內部民調另外兩項變化。她表示,民進黨目前在台北市的政黨支持度已居第一,略微領先藍、白兩黨;另一方面,蔣萬安近兩個月的支持度及信任度均呈現下滑,降幅接近9個百分點。

她表示,相較之下,沈伯洋的知名度逐步提升,好感度、支持度及認可度也明顯上揚,「一來一往」之下,蔣萬安往下、沈伯洋所代表的「洋流」往上,使雙方差距進一步縮小。

吳思瑤也表示,團隊雖然振奮,但不會因此鬆懈,因為目前沈伯洋仍處於落後。蔣萬安尋求連任,具有現任市長優勢,沈伯洋是挑戰者,「我們要贏,就需要加倍努力」。

沈伯洋此次訪日,今天在東京成立繼美國之後第2個海外後援會。吳思瑤表示,今年7月沈伯洋已赴美西、美東成立海外後援組織,隨著選戰進入最後70多天,考量時間有限,最後選擇距離台灣最近、台日友誼及交流基礎深厚的日本。

她表示,這次並非單純成立東京後援會,而是成立「全日本後援會」,從九州、四國、關西、關東到北海道,共有30多個地區及城市的後援會會長或代表出席。她形容沈伯洋所帶動的「洋流」仍在增強,網友甚至形容已經成為「海嘯」,但她笑稱海嘯會造成災難,「我們是一股很溫暖的洋流,是無害而且具有正向助力的洋流」。

吳思瑤最後兩度喊話:「我們能贏,我們會贏。」她表示,距離投票剩下70多天,競選團隊將力拚把目前的個位數差距進一步追平。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 競選團隊將力拚把目前的個位數差距進一步追平

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 蔣萬安陣營將如何針對民調縮小展開反擊?
  • 選戰最後70多天雙方民調是否會黃金交叉?

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