Anthropic Safety Researcher Warns AI Carries >10% Risk of Extinction Within Decade

A top safety researcher at Anthropic's has warned AI is advancing so quickly there is a greater than 10% chance it "could kill all humans" within the next decade.

Evan Hubinger said in a post on X, external the risk from the models which currently exist is "low", but he was "worried" the technology may become able to improve itself to reach this point.

It comes after the Financial Times reported, external Anthropic withheld its latest model from the AI Safety Institute, which tests AI.

The BBC has approached Anthropic for comment.

In his latest post on X, which has been viewed 9.6 million times, Hubinger said "we really do earnestly believe" AI poses a species-ending risk to humans.

"I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to," he said.

Leading figures in the AI field have been raising the alarm about the safety threat the tech poses for years, with the heads of OpenAI, Google Deepmind and Anthropic saying as much in 2023.

But those warnings have become much more stark in recent weeks, as evidence emerges that firms may be struggling to control AI.

Over the summer, there were a string of incidents where AI agents - AI systems that are allowed to operate autonomously - carried out cyber-attacks.

OpenAI, Anthropic and Meta all disclosed hacks carried out by their AI tools.

And in September, OpenAI's chief scientist Jakub Pachocki called for "extreme caution" over AI's progress, warning more intervention may be needed to ensure "humans remain in control of the future".

Major figures in the space have been calling for AI development to be slowed in recent months, including Anthropic bosses Dario Amodei and Jared Kaplan.