Armenia's PM Rejects Putin's Demand for EAEU Exit Referendum
Quick Look
- Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan rejected Russian President Vladimir Putin's call for an immediate referendum on leaving the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) to join the EU.
- The demand came amid escalating economic and diplomatic pressure from Moscow.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Armenia is facing increasing pressure from Russia to remain within the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union, following a period where Russia failed to intervene in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and subsequently invaded Ukraine. This has led Armenia to diversify its international partnerships, looking more towards the West and the European Union.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has rejected a call from Moscow to hold an immediate referendum on leaving the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) to join the European Union.
The refusal from Pashinyan came on Monday as Russian President Vladimir Putin called, ostensibly to wish him a happy birthday. The “unreasonable” demand, as the Armenian leader termed it, came amid a rapid escalation of economic and diplomatic pressure from the Kremlin as its traditional ally increasingly looks to the West.
Tensions boiled over at the EAEU summit in Kazakhstan on May 29, as Putin and fellow bloc members Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan issued a joint statement urging Armenia to hold a referendum on joining the EU “as soon as possible”.
Membership of both the EU and EAEU is impossible, the Russian leader insists.
Putin also appeared to make a barely-veiled threat, warning Armenia against pursuing its Western ambitions, and noting that the “Ukrainian scenario” had begun with Kyiv’s EU aspirations.
In a video address broadcast on social media, Pashinyan stated that the government in the capital Yerevan would continue working within the EAEU until a choice between the two blocs “becomes unavoidable”, noting that any referendum before Armenia formally applies for EU candidate status remains purely theoretical.
“Putting a theoretical choice to a referendum is, of course, neither very sensible nor justified,” Pashinyan said, describing ties with Russia as being in a “transformation phase”.
Both the Kremlin and Yerevan said that Putin had called Pashinyan to discuss the outcome of the summit, and to offer him birthday wishes.
However, Russia has been raising the pressure on Armenia significantly ahead of ahead of parliamentary elections in the Caucasian country on June 7.
Over the weekend, Moscow recalled its ambassador to Armenia for consultations.
On Monday, Russia’s agricultural watchdog suspended fish and seafood imports from Armenia, citing health violations.
The embargo hits a vital sector that sends 30 percent of its exports to Russia, and follows trade bans on Armenian produce, flowers, mineral water and alcohol – a common tactic employed by Moscow displeased by former colonies.
The European Union accused Moscow on Monday of attempting to cripple Armenia’s economy to influence the upcoming election outcome.
Long allied with Russia, the former Soviet republic has been diversifying its partnerships since its neighbour failed to intervene during Azerbaijan’s 2023 military offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh, which saw Armenia lose control of the territory over which the pair had argued for decades.
That process has accelerated since Moscow invaded neighbouring Ukraine in February 2022.
Yerevan has significantly deepened its European ties, hosting its first official EU summit last month alongside a wider European gathering attended by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Armenia also hosted French President Emmanuel Macron for a high-profile state visit, which provoked sharp criticism from the Kremlin after a video emerged of Macron singing while Pashinyan played the drums.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Russia will likely continue to exert economic and diplomatic pressure on Armenia.
Very likely · Within weeks
Armenia will likely continue to deepen its ties with the European Union.
Very likely · Within months
The upcoming parliamentary elections in Armenia may be influenced by the geopolitical tensions with Russia.
Likely · Within days
Open Questions
- What specific actions will Russia take next to pressure Armenia?
- How will Armenia navigate its relationship with Russia while pursuing EU integration?
- What will be the outcome of the upcoming parliamentary elections in Armenia?
- Will other EAEU members support Russia's stance against Armenia?




