Bitcoin Bull Score Index Enters Neutral Territory for First Time This Bear Market
Crypto metrics show relief but analyst warns of potential 2022 bear market repeat
Quick Look
- Bitcoin's Bull Score Index has reached its highest level since October, entering neutral territory (50) for the first time in this bear market as BTC pushes toward $78,000.
- The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also improved to 32/100, its least negative reading since mid-January.
- However, analysts caution that history shows similar neutral readings in March 2022 preceded a continued price decline, urging caution into the April monthly close.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Bitcoin Bull Score Index incorporates nine price metrics to assess overall market performance. It has been sharply bearish since this bear market began, similar to its behavior in the early stages of the 2022 bear market. The index had a brief cooling-off period in March 2022 before the decline resumed.
Bitcoin (BTC) price metrics are showing relief this month, but the risk of repeating the 2022 bear market remains. Key points: Bitcoin's Bull Score Index combined price metric reaches its highest levels since October last year. The relief may be short-lived, analysis warns, pointing to the 2022 bear market. Crypto sentiment reaches its most bullish since January, per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
Bitcoin Bull Score Index ditches "bearish" zone
New data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant places the spotlight on the Bitcoin Bull Score Index (BSI). Bitcoin has finally entered "neutral" territory with its push to $78,000, the latest BSI data confirms, with the Index climbing to its highest since October 2025. BSI incorporates nine price metrics to give an overall impression of performance. Since the bear market began, it has been sharply bearish — just as in the early stages of the previous bear market four years ago.
"First time in this bear market that the Bull Score Index enters neutral zone (50)," CryptoQuant contributor Julio Moreno noted in an X post on Wednesday. Moreno cautioned that despite the pressure being off for now, BSI also had a brief cooling-off period before the 2022 bear market continued. "In March 2022, the Bull Score entered neutral territory for about a week, and then the price resumed its decline," he added.
Should history repeat, attention will be on the Index's performance into the April monthly close, as BTC/USD attempts to break out of a multi-month range. Examining BSI readings last week, with price around $74,000, CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain described a "balance between supply and demand forces." "On the other hand, the current BSI reading shows that the market is still far from the area of strong optimism (above 60), which typically indicates strong bullish conditions, while also remaining above the zone of extreme pessimism (clearly below 40)," they wrote in a QuickTake blog post. "This places the market in a transitional phase, as investors await new catalysts to determine the next direction."
Sentiment edges to most bullish since January
Other signs of a broader market recovery come from crypto trader sentiment. According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a classic lagging indicator that uses a basket of factors to reflect the mood among investors, conditions are at their least negative since mid-January. Fear & Greed measured 32/100 on Wednesday — still within its "fear" zone while like BSI also approaching the "neutral" bracket. The Index value has nearly tripled in a little over a week.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
BSI may decline back into bearish territory if history repeats the March 2022 pattern
Possible · Within weeks
Bitcoin will attempt to break out of multi-month range into April monthly close
Likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- Will Bitcoin break out of its multi-month range?
- Will history repeat with BSI declining after a brief neutral period?
- What new catalysts will determine the next market direction?
