Breaking
TRNational Women's Volleyball Team Became Champion for the Second Consecutive Time in the 2026 European ChampionshipITJannik Sinner special guest at Juventus-MilanESSpanish driver Pablo Amorós dies after accident at the Monteblanco CircuitRUIn Sevastopol, the air raid warning, which lasted 40 minutes, was canceledINBoeing 767 cargo plane overruns runway at Miami International AirportSALondon Police Charge Man with Attempted Murder in Stabbing of Saudi NationalINRajnath Singh to undertake 3-day visit to Sri Lanka from TuesdayARAl-Shabab Club announces loan deals and new contracts on the last day of the summer registration periodINFive-storey building collapse in Delhi's Satya Niketan kills five, four injuredJPGermany's far-right party becomes the leading party in state elections, arson murder in Gifu, Russia insists on Ukraine peace talks, Chinese rescue in Nepal, drone attack on Ukraine Security Service building, 31 dead in debris flow in ChinaTRNational Women's Volleyball Team Became Champion for the Second Consecutive Time in the 2026 European ChampionshipITJannik Sinner special guest at Juventus-MilanESSpanish driver Pablo Amorós dies after accident at the Monteblanco CircuitRUIn Sevastopol, the air raid warning, which lasted 40 minutes, was canceledINBoeing 767 cargo plane overruns runway at Miami International AirportSALondon Police Charge Man with Attempted Murder in Stabbing of Saudi NationalINRajnath Singh to undertake 3-day visit to Sri Lanka from TuesdayARAl-Shabab Club announces loan deals and new contracts on the last day of the summer registration periodINFive-storey building collapse in Delhi's Satya Niketan kills five, four injuredJPGermany's far-right party becomes the leading party in state elections, arson murder in Gifu, Russia insists on Ukraine peace talks, Chinese rescue in Nepal, drone attack on Ukraine Security Service building, 31 dead in debris flow in China
BackFormer U.S. Defense Secretary Penneda warned that the U.S.-Iran conflict could drag on for another six months and could become another "endless war" in the Middle East.
Former U.S. Defense Secretary Penneda warned that the U.S.-Iran conflict could drag on for another six months and could become another "endless war" in the Middle East.
Developing
自由时报54 minutes agoWorld2 min readChinaView original

Former U.S. Defense Secretary Penneda warned that the U.S.-Iran conflict could drag on for another six months and could become another "endless war" in the Middle East.

Quick Look

  • Secretary of Defense Penneda warned that the U.S.-Iran conflict may drag on for another six months and become another "endless war" for the U.S. in the Middle East.
  • He pointed out the turmoil in the Pentagon's command structure, believed that the main threats to the United States came from China, Russia and North Korea, and criticized Trump for damaging credibility by falsely claiming that the war was about to end.
  • Paneda proposed three possible directions: withdrawing directly, continuing the deadlock, or controlling the Strait of Horz, and worried that the long-term deployment of frontline US troops would affect morale and public trust.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The conflict has been ongoing for more than half a century, resulting from geopolitical tensions and military confrontation. During the Obama administration, Paneda served as director of the CIA and secretary of defense with senior national security experience. Recently, there have been internal disputes among U.S. national defense leaders, and Secretary of the Army Driscoll resigned after a clash with Secretary of War Hughes, leading to unstable leadership.

Font size

Former US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta warned that the war between the United States and Iran may drag on for another six months. As U.S. President Trump struggles to find a solution to this controversial conflict, Paneda bluntly stated in an exclusive interview with the British newspaper "The Guardian" that this war, which has broken out for more than half a year, may become another "ever war" for the United States in the Middle East, and there is still no end in sight.

Paneda served as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and Secretary of Defense during the Obama administration. He said that the United States and Iran have clearly reached a terrible stalemate with few options to end the war, and suggested that the conflict is heading towards "another failed war" in the Middle East like Iraq and Afghanistan.

Please read on...

He further pointed out that due to the recent resignation of U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll after a dispute with Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, the turmoil in the Pentagon's command structure made people feel "leaderless."

Paneda particularly emphasized that in today's dangerous world, the main threats to the United States come from China, Russia and North Korea, and the chaos in the Pentagon undoubtedly sends a dangerous signal to these major opponents that the United States' military power and defense capabilities are weak.

In response to Paneda's criticism, Pentagon chief spokesman Sean Parnell countered that the War Department was "on full fire" under the leadership of Hegseth. The chaotic claims were baseless and an insult to the professionals who worked hard to defend the country. This is "what reform looks like."

Regarding Trump's current situation, Paneda believes that he is facing a dilemma and proposed three possible directions. The first is to withdraw directly and admit that this is a "lost war". But Paneda believes that it will be difficult for Trump to lower his dignity and do so. The second is to continue the current stalemate. Both sides continue to carry out retaliatory strikes in an attempt to avoid triggering a more dangerous all-out war, but both refuse to negotiate or surrender. However, this will lead to the outcome that all parties fear most, that is, the Middle East will once again fall into a protracted and time-consuming war.

The third possibility is that the United States takes action to control the Strait of Hormuz and remove Iran's influence on the global trade chokepoint.

Paneda pointed out that unless there is a dramatic change in the attitude of the United States and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is the primary goal, this war will be unwinnable for the United States.

In addition, Paneda criticized Trump for repeatedly falsely claiming that an agreement to end the war was about to be reached and that the Strait of Hormuz had been opened, which seriously damaged his political credibility and caused any threats he made now to be ignored by the outside world. Even Vice President J.D. Vance refused to call the current military conflict a "war" in a recent interview, and there was no guarantee that the conflict would end before the U.S. midterm elections in November.

Finally, Paneda expressed concern about the situation of U.S. troops on the front lines. He cited the recent record of the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, which has been continuously deployed for more than 260 days without docking at a port, as an example. He pointed out that the military endlessly deployed personnel to war zones without a rotation plan, which not only led to the deterioration of the living conditions and mental health of the officers and soldiers on the ship, but also caused many Americans to lose trust in the military's ability to properly take care of front-line soldiers.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Meimei clashes will remain dormant for the next six months, with both sides continuing to retaliate but avoiding a full escalation.

    Likely · Within months

  • The United States will step up its military presence or surveillance of Holzheim over the next three months to curb Iranian influence

    Possible · Within months

  • The deployment of U.S. military personnel on the front lines will continue to break through normal, short-term unambiguous schedules

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • Does the United States really have the resources and political will to maintain a long-term military presence in the Middle East?
  • Is there a motivation or capacity to escalate the conflict in Iran under the current impasse?
  • What is the actual opening of the Strait of Holz and who has actual control?
  • How are China, Russia and North Korea going to use the plight of the United States to expand their influence in the Middle East?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Related Stories

Officials of the Ukrainian Presidential Office said that the US envoy visited Kyiv with a new end-of-war proposal
Developing·

Officials of the Ukrainian Presidential Office said that the US envoy visited Kyiv with a new end-of-war proposal

Senior officials of the Ukrainian presidential office revealed that U.S. envoys Kushner and Witkov arrived in Kiev with new proposals for ending the war that may be more feasible and held three-person talks with President Zelensky. Zelensky stressed that territorial issues can only be resolved at the leadership level, noting that the Donbass issue is at the heart of the war.

中央社
1 min read
Elderly woman trapped in Nepal floods for 10 days survived, her family has held a funeral
BREAKING·

Elderly woman trapped in Nepal floods for 10 days survived, her family has held a funeral

Floods have been raging in Nepal recently. 64-year-old woman Siresta disappeared after her house was swept away by floods. After searching for eight days without success, her family accepted the fact that she might be dead and made auspicious grass to replace her body and held a funeral ceremony. But on the 11th day, search and rescue personnel heard a faint cry under the buried house and found that she was still alive with part of her body trapped in the mud.

中央社
1 min read
Zelensky says war with Russia likely to continue into winter after talks with US envoys
Developing·

Zelensky says war with Russia likely to continue into winter after talks with US envoys

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the war with Russia is likely to continue into winter following talks with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Kyiv, though no breakthroughs were announced. Zelensky expressed hope for agreements with American and European partners while reiterating that only a direct meeting with Putin could resolve territorial issues.

SCMP Economy
1 min read
The number of Chinese men entering Taiwan through fake marriages reached a record high in nearly 19 years
Developing·

The number of Chinese men entering Taiwan through fake marriages reached a record high in nearly 19 years

According to the National Immigration Administration, the number of Chinese men (excluding Hong Kong and Macao) who have applied to come to Taiwan through marriage since 2023 has reached 1,508, the highest number in the past 19 years, and an increase of nearly six times compared with 256 in 2004. Most of these men come to Taiwan to seek livelihood opportunities due to China's economic deterioration and high youth unemployment. They often work in construction, factories, or illegal taxis or food delivery. They need to pay agency fees and give part of their income to their fake wives and agencies. Although the economic situation has not improved significantly, they said they have gained greater freedom of speech and personal space, and hope to obtain Taiwan ID cards. Immigration officials pointed out that the fake marriage involved forged documents and violated the Cross-Strait People's Relations Regulations, and will continue to investigate to reduce national security and public safety risks.

自由时报
2 min read
Zelensky says the war between Ukraine and Russia may last until this winter
Developing·

Zelensky says the war between Ukraine and Russia may last until this winter

After meeting with U.S. envoy Wykov, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that although the talks between the two sides were positive, the war is likely to continue into this winter. The two sides promised to suspend attacks on the capital during the special envoy's visit, but the fighting in other areas continued, and the Ukrainian Air Force reported that the Russian army's night attack caused serious casualties.

自由时报
2 min read
More on this topicPaneda