
阿根廷總統米雷伊在支持率下滑時重提福克蘭群島主權議題以凝聚支持者,美國總統川普暗示可能重新檢討對英國的支持,米雷伊隨即發表全國演說。智庫學者指出此為政治困境時常用策略,阿根廷經濟仍未完全復甦,就業問題成為民眾關切焦點。
AI-generated summary
米雷伊執政後推行自由市場改革,成功降低通膨但未能帶來顯著經濟復甦,就業問題惡化。支持率下滑促使他重提歷史上曾提升其支持度的福克蘭群島主權議題。1982年福克蘭戰爭曾使阿根廷軍政府短暫獲得民眾支持。
(中央社布宜諾斯艾利斯3日綜合外電報導)隨支持率持續滑落,阿根廷總統米雷伊開始利用聲索福克蘭群島主權凝聚支持者。在米雷伊發表全國演說前,美國總統川普暗示可能重新檢討對英國擁有福克蘭群島的支持。
華爾街日報指出,對陷入政治困境的阿根廷領袖而言,拿福克蘭群島議題作文章早成屢試不爽的政治操作。如今米雷伊(Javier Milei)推動的自由市場改革陷入停滯,支持率持續下探,明年又將面臨選舉。
米雷伊今年以來愈發頻繁在談話中提及福克蘭群島,偏偏川普本週回答媒體時的一番話,形同為米雷伊壯膽。在川普暗示美國可能重新檢討支持英國對福克蘭群島主張後,米雷伊隨即在今晚發表全國演說,談論他所謂的這個「莊嚴議題」。
華府智庫「美洲國家對話組織」(Inter-American Dialogue)拉美議題學者希福特(Michael Shifter)說:「當他們陷入政治困境時,這是種經過驗證、屢試不爽的藥方,可用來擺脫困境並提高支持度。米雷伊試圖充分利用這個議題來遂行政治目的並不令人意外,因為他現在確實陷入困境。」
米雷伊大幅削減政府支出,使阿根廷預算恢復平衡,也大幅壓低他2023年12月就任時剛接手、接近300%的高通膨。然而3年過去,阿根廷經濟仍未完全復甦,就業流失如今更成為民眾最關切的問題之一。根據阿根廷央行及當地顧問公司數據,陷入負債的阿根廷人愈來愈多。
彭博(Bloomberg News)與民調機構AtlasIntel合作的調查顯示,米雷伊的支持度7月跌至37%,是他任內低水準。民眾對經濟日益升高的不滿,讓米雷伊明年爭取連任蒙上陰影;他的對手將是希望推翻其自由市場改革的左派陣營。
川普一向是米雷伊的盟友,同時也是英國的批評者。他在1日被問及這個議題時對媒體說:「我一直都會重新檢視每一項立場,(檢討對英國福島立場的支持)這只是其中之一。」美國過去承認英國對這片領土的控制,但在主權歸屬問題上一直維持中立立場。
1982年時任阿根廷軍政府面臨經濟衰退與國內政治動盪,於是派陸戰隊進駐福克蘭群島,擊退當地人數不多的英軍守備部隊。軍政府宣布福克蘭群島屬於阿根廷領土後,支持度隨之大幅攀升。
時任英國首相佘契爾夫人(Margaret Thatcher)隨即派遣海軍特遣艦隊,遠渡大西洋與阿根廷打一場74天的戰爭後奪回福克蘭群島,戰爭造成阿軍649人、英軍255人陣亡。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
米雷伊將在未來數週內繼續在公開場合提及福克蘭群島議題
Likely · Within weeks
阿根廷經濟問題將成為明年選舉的核心議題
Very likely · Within months

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