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BackFormer Legislator Lin Shu-chuan points to surprising shift in President Lai Ching-te's trust ratings
Former Legislator Lin Shu-chuan points to surprising shift in President Lai Ching-te's trust ratings
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自由时报6/3/2026Politics2 min readChina

Former Legislator Lin Shu-chuan points to surprising shift in President Lai Ching-te's trust ratings

Quick Look

  • Former legislator Lin Shu-chuan noted a significant shift in President Lai Ching-te's trust ratings, with traditional green strongholds seeing a decline while Taipei and Taoyuan, areas with more blue support, surged past 50%.
  • Lin attributes this to the AI industry boom and criticizes the KMT's stance on US relations, tariffs, and military purchases.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Former legislator Lin Shu-chuan analyzed recent opinion poll results indicating a surprising shift in President Lai Ching-te's trust ratings. Traditional deep-green strongholds saw a decline, while Taipei and Taoyuan, areas with a stronger blue-leaning sentiment, exceeded 50% trust.

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前立委林濁水引述最新民調結果指出,總統賴清德信任度出現驚人變化,除了傳統深綠大本營跌了1成多外,相對藍大於綠的「天龍國」台北及桃園,信任度竟衝破50%高居全台之冠,林濁水直呼,「北之轉綠」有如台灣2000南之轉綠和川普令美國繡帶翻轉紅的翻版。他也分析,如此結果可能和AI產業爆發有關,藍營因立場盲目,「既反美批賴只重AI,又對關稅誤判、反無人機軍購,令民眾厭不可言。」

林濁水今日在臉書發文表示,最新民調結果相當不可思議,顯示藍綠基本盤出現「天旋地轉」般的變化。比較2024年,傳統上深綠大本營雲嘉南高屏信任度暴跌1成多,相對的藍大於綠的天龍國和桃園,信任度全衝破50%高居全台冠亞軍(另1份民調也顯示賴清德台北市滿意度高達59.6%高於全台各地)。

林濁水指出,反觀國民黨,比較今年1月和5月,鄭麗文信任度幾乎全台齊跌,全國各地信任度頂多2成多,只有不信任度的一半。更慘的大本營天龍國信任度只有15%,竟是全國最低。

林濁水表示,兩大黨領袖都在傳統大本營出狀況,而賴橫掃北台灣,尤其天龍國,現象之怪尤其令人頭皮發麻。他分析,賴清德的信任度南北顛倒,應該是AI爆發,伺服器狂銷,群聚大本營的雙北桃竹景氣狂燒;而南方雲嘉南高屏傳產重地,則在關稅動盪中苦撐所致。至於鄭麗文全盤皆慘,天龍國更徹底失陷,應是立場盲目,既反美批賴只重AI,又對關稅誤判、反無人機軍購,令民眾厭不可言。

林濁水最後警告,如今民眾對政黨領袖信任已南北顛倒,對政黨認同雖未顛倒卻已鬆動,但是兩大黨似乎還不知不覺,繼續指控都是對方搞認知作戰。心態如此,實在危險。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Political parties will continue to focus on regional economic drivers and national security issues in their campaigns.

    Likely · Medium term

  • The KMT may need to re-evaluate its political stances, particularly regarding US relations and military procurement, to regain trust.

    Likely · Medium term

  • The AI industry's influence on political sentiment and economic policy will likely increase.

    Very likely · Long term

Open Questions

  • What specific poll was referenced?
  • What is the methodology of the poll?
  • What are the long-term implications of this trust shift?
  • How will political parties respond to these findings?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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