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BackJefferies Recommends Quality, Low-Stress Stocks Amid AI Volatility
Jefferies Recommends Quality, Low-Stress Stocks Amid AI Volatility
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CNBC3h agoBusiness3 min read

Jefferies Recommends Quality, Low-Stress Stocks Amid AI Volatility

Quick Look

  • Jefferies advises investors to favor quality, low-momentum stocks to navigate market volatility driven by AI investment concerns.
  • The firm identified companies with strong fundamentals and attractive valuations, including AbbVie and Netflix, as potential havens.

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Why It Matters

Markets are experiencing increased volatility due to concerns surrounding artificial intelligence investments, including potential overcapacity and rising costs.

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Jefferies recommends owning quality, low-stress stocks to ride out the summer as markets become more volatile amid increased concerns tied to investment in artificial intelligence.

AI-related questions range from potential overcapacity, the profits that will result from hyperscalers investing an estimated $700 billion in capital spending and rising costs for tokens, the fees paid to AI models, according to a note from Desh Peramunetilleke, head of quantitative strategy at Jefferies.

As evidence of the popularity of all things AI, the S&P 500 momentum index has outperformed the broader stock market by more than 70% since 2024, close to levels seen during the dot-com run of the 1990s. Before the outbreak of war with Iran, momentum strategies had included materials and defense stocks, but currently AI alone is carrying the ball, "increasing the risk of an unwind on adverse sentiment," the strategist wrote Monday.

"While we still see the theme as a long-term winner, the above reasons could drive an unwinding of the AI-led momentum," Peramunetilleke said.

Peramunetilleke and his team recommended a list of what they call high-quality companies with low momentum to ride out any potential AI-led storms.

Jefferies looked for companies with a high quality score, market values of more than $10 billion, solid fundamentals and long-term free cash flow yields above 3%. The group also had to include stocks with limited momentum and attractive valuations selling for less than 20 times expected earnings over the next year.

Here are 10 stocks from Jefferies' list:

Drugmaker AbbVie scored a top quality score from Jefferies, which sees the company delivering compound annual earnings growth of nearly 28% in 2026-2027, with a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, one of the stronger growth and cash flow combinations on the list.

AbbVie in its first-quarter financial reported $15 billion in worldwide net revenues, driven largely by a $7.3 billion immunology portfolio. Last week, AbbVie strengthened its next-gen immunology pipeline after agreeing to buy Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 billion, its largest acquisition in more than five years.

Chicago-based AbbVie is set to release second-quarter results on July 31. The stock has climbed 25% in the past three months, 37% in the past year and yield 2.7%, based on FactSet data.

Netflix , with a $320 billion market value and a 3.6% free cash flow yield, also shared a high quality score in Jefferies' model. The dominant streaming platform forecast second-quarter revenue growth of 13% despite warning that content spending would be weighted in the first half of the year due to the timing of title launches.

The streaming giant's shares fell 10% in mid-April when second-quarter guidance fell short of Wall Street expectations and it left full-year forecasts unchanged.

Netflix is set to release second-quarter results on July 16. The stock is down 18% in 2026 so far and almost 41% lower over the past 12 months.

Other companies on Jefferies' quality, low-stress screen include Lowe's Companies , McDonald's and American Express .

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • AI-led momentum may unwind due to adverse sentiment.

    Possible

Open Questions

  • What is the full extent of AI's impact on market overcapacity?
  • How will rising token costs affect AI model profitability?
  • What specific adverse sentiment could trigger an AI-led momentum unwind?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by CNBC.

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