Seismological analysis of earthquakes in the Marmara Sea has been completed

Center Director Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir and Research Assistant Dr. Can Eytemiz made seismological analyzes on 185 earthquakes, the smallest of which was 1.4 and the largest was 3.2.

In an artificial intelligence-supported study, Sözbilir and Eytemiz determined that the earthquakes were a seismic activity developing on the branches of the Adalar Fault.

Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency (AFAD) Earthquake Science Board Member and DEU Earthquake Research and Application Center Director Prof. Dr. Sözbilir said that they have been scanning the earthquakes recorded in the area in 7-day periods since 2010.

Stating that the seismic study they conducted was related to the earthquakes that occurred in the Marmara Sea between 18 and 20 August, Sözbilir said, "We saw that the sequence of earthquakes at a certain scale did not occur directly on the Adalar Fault. In other words, we can evaluate it as a seismic activity developing on the branches of the Adalar Fault, which is classified as a locked fault." he said.

"WE CANNOT SAY THAT THERE WILL BE A BIG EARTHQUAKE"

Sözbilir stated that the "earthquake storm" lasted for a few days and then ended suddenly, adding:

"Just because these earthquakes have happened, we cannot say that 'a big earthquake will follow'. This is an activity that has been going on for centuries in the Marmara Region. Therefore, this is just one of the earthquake storms that last for a few days in the form of such clusters. If you pay attention to the map, the 1999 earthquake actually came to our Gebze side, and then segments such as the Adalar Fault and the Kumburgaz Segment are expected to break. Scientists all over the world say that these faults will break in the future. There is a different opinion about them. "No, in scientific studies on a world scale, it has been determined that there is a locking in certain parts of the Adalar Fault and the Kumburgaz Fault. This means that they accumulate stress and tension without producing earthquakes. Therefore, they will discharge that energy in the future."

"NO CONCLUSION CAN BE DONE THAT IT WAS A FOREIGN EARTHQUAKE"

Research Assistant Dr. who took part in the study. Can Eytemiz said that they repositioned the earthquakes and moved them to their real places using scientific software during the "earthquake storm" that lasted two days.

Stating that they determined that the "earthquake storm" was not on the locked segment, Eytemiz said, "As it is very close to the locked zone, I can say that a study should be carried out, that is, this place should be put under a microscope. This situation will not pose a risk, especially since it is an earthquake danger region that has been rumored for years. I think that the prediction is like this, but it should definitely be put under the microscope and examined meticulously. Earthquakes of this magnitude are not expected to have such a triggering power. No scientifically consistent conclusion can be drawn that such earthquakes are foreshocks." he said.