One Nation wins first lower house seat in Western Australia
Quick Look
One Nation candidate Luke Herdegen secured the party's first lower house seat in Western Australia by winning the traditionally Labor-held seat of Secret Harbour, marking a significant political shift in the state.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Secret Harbour had been a safe Labor seat since 1989, most recently held by Paul Papalia with an 11.5% margin. Premier Roger Cook had framed the by-election as a 'fight for our lives' due to the threat from One Nation.
One Nation has scored a historic win in Western Australia, securing its first lower house seat in the state.
The ABC's chief elections and data analyst Casey Briggs called the outer suburban seat of Secret Harbour for One Nation's Luke Herdegen a little over four hours after votes began to be counted.
One Nation's WA leader Rod Caddies claimed victory at 9.30pm local time, although Labor had yet to concede.
Labor's candidate was political staffer-turned-Woodside lobbyist Georgia Tree.
The area was traditionally safe Labor territory, having been held in different shapes and under different names since 1989, including most recently by Paul Papalia on an 11.5 per cent margin.
WA Labor Premier Roger Cook had repeatedly described the by-election as a "fight for our lives", given the threat posed by One Nation.
That the minor party was able to achieve such a large swing in Labor heartland will be watched closely around the country, both as an indication of the support behind One Nation and to learn lessons in how it can be campaigned against.
Mr Herdegen said his victory sent a loud message.
"There are no safe Labor seats in this state or in this country anymore," he said.
"The people have spoken today."
"None of these MPs are safe from the orange tsunami."
Mr Caddies said Australia's two-party political system was "dead".
"You're witnessing a result they said was impossible," he said.
"Labor owned this part of Perth.
"The working families out here would always vote Labor.
"But a safe seat does not stay safe if you ignore it long enough."
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
One Nation will target additional traditionally safe Labor seats in future elections
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- What specific factors drove the swing against Labor in Secret Harbour?
- How will this result affect One Nation's strategy in future elections?
- What lessons will Labor learn from losing this traditionally safe seat?