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BackRAM Shortage Expected to Intensify Until 2028, Impacting Tech Giants
RAM Shortage Expected to Intensify Until 2028, Impacting Tech Giants
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TechCrunch8 hours agoBusiness1 min readUnited States

RAM Shortage Expected to Intensify Until 2028, Impacting Tech Giants

Quick Look

  • Samsung forecasts the global RAM chip shortage will intensify into 2027 and last until 2028, driven by AI demand.
  • This has allowed Samsung to secure long-term contracts but has increased component costs, impacting smartphone/TV profitability and leading to price hikes for consumers from Samsung and Apple.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The global RAM chip shortage, driven by demand from frontier AI labs, is projected to persist and intensify until at least 2028. This has led to increased chip prices and component costs for tech companies.

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The ongoing shortage of RAM chips is not only expected to persist into the next year, but will likely intensify in 2027, with tight supply conditions lasting until at least 2028, according to Samsung, which manufactures and supplies roughly a third of the world’s memory chips.

Samsung said in its Q2 earnings call that frontier AI labs, desperate to obtain access to memory infrastructure, have been “sharing their medium- to long-term demand forecasts” directly with the Korean tech giant to secure future supply.

The high demand enables Samsung to prioritize customers willing to sign long-term contracts. This multi-year visibility will allow the company to install equipment and ramp up production without worrying that demand will dry up, helping it avoid the memory industry’s historical boom-and-bust cycles.

Memory shortages driven by the AI boom have also pushed up chip prices in recent months. This has been a double-edged sword for Samsung: While sales at its semiconductor unit hit an all-time high in Q2, profitability in its smartphone and TV divisions shrank, as the higher-priced chips drove up component costs.

Samsung has even started passing some of those increasing component costs on to consumers by increasing the prices of its Galaxy smartphones and tablets. However, as a result, demand for these devices has dropped.

The memory shortage, informally dubbed “the RAMaggedon,” has also forced Apple, Samsung’s archrival, to raise the prices of its MacBooks, Macs, and iPads last month. On its latest earnings call, Apple warned that revenue growth for the upcoming quarter is projected to slow to between 9% and 11% year-over-year, down from its recent 16% quarterly growth rate.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • RAM chip shortage will intensify in 2027 and last until at least 2028.

    Very likely · Within years

  • Apple's revenue growth for the upcoming quarter will slow to 9-11% year-over-year.

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • What specific long-term contracts did Samsung secure?
  • How much will consumer device prices increase further?
  • What is the exact impact on other tech companies?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by TechCrunch.

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