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BackYen strengthens after US-Japan joint currency intervention
Yen strengthens after US-Japan joint currency intervention
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Guardian International9 hours agoBusiness2 min read

Yen strengthens after US-Japan joint currency intervention

Quick Look

  • The Japanese yen reached a three-month high against the US dollar after Japan and the US conducted a rare joint currency intervention to support the yen, which had weakened to a 40-year low.
  • Both nations confirmed further action if needed, while analysts offer mixed views on the long-term impact.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The yen had weakened to a 40-year low due to lower Japanese borrowing costs compared to other advanced economies, fueling a 'carry trade', and concerns over Japanese prime minister Sanae Takaichi’s economic policies.

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The yen has hit its highest level in three months after Japan and the US launched a combined operation to support the Japanese currency.

The yen strengthened to ¥155 to the US dollar on Monday, its highest level since early May, after Tokyo and Washington confirmed they had carried out a rare joint currency intervention late last week.

Tokyo’s finance ministry said on Monday the two governments had conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention and would not hesitate to take further action.

The intervention came after the yen had weakened to a 40-year low of almost ¥164 to the dollar last week.

Donald Trump told reporters on Sunday: “They have a weakening yen, and they wanted a little bit of help. And we’re always there for Japan.”

The yen had weakened in recent months as Japanese borrowing costs remained lower than in other advanced economies. This disparity fuelled a so-called “carry trade”, in which investors borrowed cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding dollar assets.

The yen has also suffered from investors’ concern about Japanese prime minister Sanae Takaichi’s push to use tax and spending measures to stimulate the Japanese economy, and her criticism of the Bank of Japan setting higher interest rates, which have also pushed up the country’s borrowing costs.

The US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said Washington “will not hesitate to ⁠participate in further joint intervention”, while repeating calls for further interest rate rises from Japan’s central ​bank. On Saturday, a photograph of Bessent’s notebook taken during a cabinet meeting showed that his “to do” list included buying $5bn-$10bn ⁠worth of Japanese yen.

This is the first collaboration involving Japan and the US since March 2011 when a joint intervention was made to weaken the yen after the March Tohoku earthquake and tsunami.

Lee Hardman, a currency analyst at MUFG bank, said: “The threat of further joint intervention and a faster pace of BoJ hikes should provide more support for the yen, and discourage speculators from running elevated short yen positions.”

The consultancy Oxford Economics said the US-Japan coordinated intervention would not be enough to reverse the trend of yen weakness.

“Despite rising market speculation about faster rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, we continue to assume the central bank waits until December because the intervention reduces the risk of a sharp yen depreciation and gives the BoJ more time to assess the impact of the Middle East conflict and past rate hikes on the economy,” it said.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • US and Japan will conduct further joint currency intervention.

    Likely · Within weeks

  • Bank of Japan will wait until December for faster rate hikes.

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • How long will the joint currency intervention effectively support the yen?
  • When will the Bank of Japan decide on further interest rate hikes?
  • What will be the long-term impact of Takaichi's economic policies on the yen?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by Guardian International.

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