Developing
Politics·4/29/2026AI summary
Why Exit Polls Often Get It Wrong: A History of Mispredictions in Indian Elections
Exit polls for West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Puducherry, and Assam are awaited, but historical data shows these forecasts are often inaccurate. From the 2024 Haryana election where Congress was predicted to win but BJP emerged ahead, to the 2004 Lok Sabha upset where NDA lost despite India Shining campaign, exit polls have repeatedly misread voter sentiment. Experts cite sampling limitations, urban bias, voter reluctance, and last-minute swings as key reasons for these failures.
E
Economic Times