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Asia must unite to avert an Iran war food crisis
NEWS
5/6/2026

Asia must unite to avert an Iran war food crisis

Asia’s next food crisis is under way. After the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz collapsed, sending shock waves across energy, fertiliser and food systems. Fuel, freight and fertiliser costs are rising sharply, amplified by skyrocketing insurance premiums – feeding directly into the price of every tonne of fertiliser that still reaches the market. The scale of disruption reflects the strait’s outsize role in global trade. It carries around one-third of globally...

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SCMP Economy
Stock markets are wobbling, but £10bn cash bids at fat premiums can still happen
NEWS
5/5/2026

Stock markets are wobbling, but £10bn cash bids at fat premiums can still happen

A Swedish firm’s pursuit of the product testing company Intertek suggests investors’ price expectations are yet to be shifted by the Iran warIt was a bad day for the FTSE 100 index on Tuesday – down 1.4% – but the puzzle in many quarters is why share prices haven’t fallen further since the start of the US-Israel war on Iran. The index is still up by a couple of percentage points since new year, which is not a bet most would have made at the time if they had been told an inflationary energy price shock lay around the corner.An absence of Iran-related corporate profits warnings partly explains the relative resilience, even if those usually take a while to arrive. So, too, the fact that the Footsie is overpopulated with overseas earners for whom the US economy, which isn’t suffering Europe’s soaring natural gas prices, matters more than their home market. And higher oil prices obviously help the likes of Shell and BP. Continue reading...

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Guardian Business
Oil at three-week high as US-Iran peace talks stall; China blocks Meta’s takeover of AI agent Manus – business live
NEWS
4/27/2026

Oil at three-week high as US-Iran peace talks stall; China blocks Meta’s takeover of AI agent Manus – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial newsShares in athletic apparel and footwear company Adidas have jumped by almost 1.75% in early trading after three of its athletes shone at the London Marathon yesterday.Sabastian Sawe and Yomif Kejelcha both smashed the two-hour barrier in the men’s marathon race, and Tigist Assefa set a women-only world record in the women’s race.“The adidas family is incredibly proud of Sabastian and Tigist’s historic achievements, marking the fastest times humans have ever run in a marathon.This is a testament to the years of hard work and dedication they have made, alongside our innovation team, who have built a supershoe which breaks new ground in the Adizero Adios Pro Evo 3.”The Iran war has triggered one of the largest disruptions to physical oil supply in modern history. While de‑escalation could ease some geopolitical risk premiums, the damage to production, exports and logistics means markets are unlikely to quickly return to pre‑war conditions. Continue reading...

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Guardian Business
Oil at three-week high as US-Iran peace talks stall, and Goldman lifts price forecast – business live
NEWS
4/27/2026

Oil at three-week high as US-Iran peace talks stall, and Goldman lifts price forecast – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial newsUnicredit also have a note out on the oil market this morning, in which they warn:The Iran war has triggered one of the largest disruptions to physical oil supply in modern history. While de‑escalation could ease some geopolitical risk premiums, the damage to production, exports and logistics means markets are unlikely to quickly return to pre‑war conditions.We now assume a normalization in Gulf exports by end-June (vs. mid-May prior) and a slower Gulf production recovery. The economic risks are larger than our crude base case alone suggests because of the net upside risks to oil prices, unusually high refined product prices, products shortages risks, and the unprecedented scale of the shock.We assume that global oil demand falls on a year-over-year basis by 1.7mb/d in 2026Q2 and 0.1mb/d in 2026 given the jump in refined product prices. Because extreme inventory draws are not sustainable, even sharper demand losses could be required if the supply shock persists longer.Adverse scenario: Brent 2026Q4 would average just over $100 assuming Gulf exports only normalize by end-July.Severely adverse scenario: Brent 2026Q4 would average at nearly $120 assuming Gulf exports normalize by end-July and 2.5mb/d of persistent reduction to Gulf capacity. This 2.5mb/d of scarring is equivalent to Hormuz flows not recovering above 70% (till pipeline capacity is expanded).Benign scenario: Brent 2026Q4 would average just under $80 assuming Gulf exports normalize by mid-June, no capacity reduction, and stronger US and core OPEC supply responses. Continue reading...

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Guardian Business
States Move to Ban Insurance Companies From Using Credit Scores to Set Premiums
Developing
Law·4/26/2026AI summary

States Move to Ban Insurance Companies From Using Credit Scores to Set Premiums

State lawmakers in Iowa, New York, Oklahoma and Pennsylvania are proposing legislation to ban insurers from using consumers' credit history to set homeowners or auto insurance premiums. Consumer advocates argue credit-based insurance scores are unfair as they penalize people for financial hardships beyond their control, while the insurance industry argues the practice helps keep premiums low for many consumers. Currently, only California, Hawaii and Massachusetts ban the practice for auto insurance, with California, Massachusetts and Maryland banning it for homeowners insurance.

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CNBC
Health Insurance Premiums in India Rising 10-25% Due to Medical Inflation, Post-COVID Claims
Developing
Business·4/24/2026AI summary

Health Insurance Premiums in India Rising 10-25% Due to Medical Inflation, Post-COVID Claims

Health insurance premiums in India are expected to rise by 10-25% in 2026, driven by escalating healthcare costs, increased post-COVID claims, and changing risk profiles. Younger policyholders under 35 may see 5-10% increases, while those aged 46-61 could face 20-30% hikes. IRDAI caps senior citizen premium increases at 10% without regulatory approval. Experts recommend reviewing policies, increasing deductibles, or adding top-up plans rather than lapsing coverage.

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Economic Times
China can offer Gulf states more than just a security umbrella
NEWS
4/23/2026

China can offer Gulf states more than just a security umbrella

The Iran war has delivered a systemic shock to the Gulf’s security architecture and economic miracle. Two taboos were rapidly broken. The Strait of Hormuz, which carries roughly one-fifth of global oil consumption and close to a quarter of seaborne crude, was paralysed for sustained periods. Iranian strikes reached deep into Gulf territory, hitting ports, energy terminals and airports with a frequency that exceeded attacks on Israel. War-risk insurance premiums and tanker charter rates surged...

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SCMP Economy
Strait of Hormuz Closure Disrupts Regional Logistics, Threatens Consumer Prices
BREAKING
World·4/20/2026AI summary

Strait of Hormuz Closure Disrupts Regional Logistics, Threatens Consumer Prices

The Strait of Hormuz has been largely closed since late February when US and Israeli war on Iran triggered a blockade, bringing shipping to a near standstill. The vital waterway, which normally carries 25% of world seaborne oil and 20% of LNG, briefly reopened earlier this month before Iran re-closed it on Saturday. Logistics disruptions including longer transit times, missed sailings, and higher insurance premiums are already affecting wine, spirits, and time-sensitive goods, with analysts warning prices will rise on shop shelves and restaurant tables.

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SCMP Economy