Can Japan's national soccer team win in the upcoming World Cup? An 'oracle parrot' predicts

The North and Central America Soccer World Cup (W杯) is about to begin, and can the Japanese national team win against the world's powerhouses?

Olivia (male, 21 years old), an 'oracle parrot' who has accurately predicted the results of international sports competitions with high probability, will predict the results of the Japanese national team's three first-round league matches on the afternoon of the 11th.

Olivia is known for his intelligence among his fellow parrots and lives at Nasu Animal Kingdom in Nasu Town, Tochigi Prefecture.

He started sports match predictions in 2014, and in the Women's World Cup Canada tournament the following year, he accurately predicted the outcome of 6 out of 7 matches for the Japanese national team.

In the World Baseball Classic (WBC) in 2023, he correctly predicted all 7 of Japan's matches.

Olivia's overall prediction accuracy for international competitions, regardless of sport, is 53.6% (59 wins out of 110 matches).

In fact, the most challenging sport for him is the men's soccer World Cup.

So far, in the 2014 Brazil World Cup, 2018 Russia World Cup, and 2022 Qatar World Cup, there have been a total of 11 matches involving the Japanese national team, but he has only predicted one correctly. His accuracy rate is 9%.

For Olivia too, the 'matches that cannot be lost' are about to begin.

The stage is the Nasu Animal Kingdom Sky Stadium. The prediction will be made public immediately after Olivia's performance, which starts at 2:30 PM on the 11th.

In addition to predicting the results of the first-round league matches against the Netherlands (15th), Tunisia (21st), and Sweden (26th), he will also predict the semi-finals, third-place match, and the final in the future.

The method of prediction involves Olivia picking up one of three flags with his beak: the flags of Japan and its opponent, or a 'draw' flag.

Will Olivia make accurate predictions and be able to see the 'best scenery'?

Olivia's predictions and results for main Japan national team matches

[Men's Soccer]

・2014 World Cup Brazil Tournament

vs Ivory Coast: Prediction: Japan, Result: ×

vs Greece: Prediction: Japan, Result: ×

vs Colombia: Prediction: Japan, Result: ×

・2018 World Cup Russia Tournament

vs Colombia: Prediction: Colombia, Result: ×

vs Senegal: Prediction: Senegal, Result: ×

vs Poland: Prediction: Draw, Result: ×

vs Belgium: Prediction: Belgium, Result: ○

・2022 World Cup Qatar Tournament

vs Germany: Prediction: Germany, Result: ×

vs Costa Rica: Prediction: Costa Rica, Result: ×

vs Spain: Prediction: Spain, Result: ×

vs Croatia: Prediction: Japan, Result: ×

[Women's Soccer]

・2015 World Cup Canada Tournament: 6 wins out of 7 matches

・2019 World Cup France Tournament: 1 win out of 4 matches

・2023 World Cup Australia-New Zealand Tournament: 3 wins out of 5 matches

[Rugby]

・2019 World Cup Japan Tournament: 3 wins out of 5 matches

・2023 World Cup France Tournament: 3 wins out of 4 matches

[Baseball]

2023 WBC: 7 wins out of 7 matches

2026 WBC: 3 wins out of 5 matches

*Compiled from Nasu Animal Kingdom's data