A cluster of storms along the Gulf Coast has a 70% chance of becoming the first named tropical storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. The system threatens heavy downpours and dangerous floods across Texas, Louisiana, and other southern states, with tornadoes also possible.
Forecasters predict a quieter Atlantic hurricane season due to El Nino, a warming of Pacific Ocean temperatures that suppresses Atlantic storm activity while increasing Pacific storms. El Nino's effects vary globally, reducing hurricane days in the Atlantic but increasing storms near Hawaii.
El Nino is forecast to significantly reduce the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season, with NOAA predicting 8-14 named storms. Experts cite increased wind shear and dry air as key factors, while noting that even a less active season can still produce devastating storms.
NOAA forecasts a calmer Atlantic hurricane season with 3-6 hurricanes (1-3 major), but warns of potential Category 5 storms. The eastern Pacific season is expected to be active due to El Niño, with 9-14 hurricanes (5-9 major).
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to have fewer storms than average (8-14), but abnormally warm ocean temperatures increase the risk of destructive major hurricanes. Climate change is making storms more intense, and inland flooding remains a significant threat. FEMA faces challenges due to recent turmoil but states it is prepared.
NOAA predicts a less active Atlantic hurricane season due to El Niño, with 8-14 named systems. However, factors like warm ocean temps and the potential for even one strong storm mean preparedness is still crucial.
