Indian companies face significant cost volatility due to the prolonged West Asia conflict and emerging El Nino conditions, leading to commodity inflation, rising freight charges, and exchange rate instability. This forces price hikes, squeezing margins, and raising concerns about a potential hit to discretionary consumer demand.
Michał Brennek z Instytutu Geofizyki PAN wyjaśnia, że za ekstremalne zjawiska pogodowe w Polsce odpowiada globalne ocieplenie, a El Nino jedynie nasila ten trend. Choć El Nino nie wpływa bezpośrednio na pogodę w Europie, Polacy odczują jego skutki poprzez wzrost globalnych cen żywności, takich jak kawa czy cukier, szacowany na około 5 proc.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warns that a rapidly intensifying El Nino will drive extreme weather globally, increasing risks of heatwaves, drought, and flooding. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres urged nations to accelerate climate action and halt new fossil fuel projects.
BM Genel Sekreteri Guterres, El Nino'nun insan kaynaklı iklim değişikliğini güçlendirerek gezegeni daha da ısıttığını belirtti. Rekor sıcaklıklar, yıkıcı orman yangınları ve binlerce can kaybının gelecekte yaşanacakların sadece habercisi olduğunu vurguladı.
India's importers push for approval of new tur and urad supplier countries, notably Brazil and Australia, to mitigate El Nino's impact on pulse production and reduce reliance on current suppliers like Myanmar.
A predicted 'super' El Nino could inflict $10-20 billion in damage across Africa, threatening food security, government finances, and banking sectors, potentially reducing GDP by 1-2% in heavily affected countries.
Scientists warn that the current El Nino event, though a "prelude," already exhibits extreme destructive power, potentially rivalling the 1997-98 super El Nino. The National Marine Environmental Forecasting Centre's chief forecaster, Jiang Hua, highlights unusually warm water anomalies in the Pacific and Indian Oceans, signaling a perilous future.
Cục Khí tượng Thủy văn dự báo El Nino 2026-2027 với hai kịch bản: suy yếu sớm hoặc kéo dài đến giữa năm, gây ra hạn hán, thiếu nước, xâm nhập mặn và ảnh hưởng nghiêm trọng đến nông nghiệp, năng lượng, kinh tế-xã hội Việt Nam.
TÜBA üyesi Prof. Dr. Doğan Yaşar, İzmir'de bu yaz sıcaklıkların geçen yıla göre daha düşük seyredeceğini, ortalamanın altında bir yaz beklendiğini belirtti. Mayıs ayının 1938'den beri en soğuk mayıs olduğunu söyledi.
Bilim insanları, Pasifik Okyanusu'ndaki deniz yüzeyi sıcaklıklarının beklenenden fazla artmasıyla El Nino'nun güçlü bir aşamaya geçtiğini belirtiyor. Bu durumun küresel hava sistemlerini etkileyerek aşırı hava olaylarına yol açması öngörülüyor. Türkiye'ye etkileri ise daha dolaylı olacak.
El Nino is strengthening and expected to persist through early spring 2027, with a 97% chance. A very strong event is likely this autumn, potentially causing extreme weather globally, including in China and impacting India's monsoon rainfall.
The Indian government is monitoring 262 districts for rainfall deficiency and El Nino impacts, adding 15 more vulnerable districts. Sowing is slow due to uneven rain, but forecasts for Gujarat, Haryana, Punjab, and Rajasthan may accelerate planting. Contingency plans are in place.
India's hydropower generation fell nearly 21% in June due to El Nino-induced dry weather, impacting reservoir levels and increasing grid pressure. Crop sowing also declined significantly, with acreage down 21% for kharif crops.
Despite global economic headwinds from the Middle East conflict, India's economy shows resilience with strong GST collections, vehicle sales, and UPI transactions. However, a weak monsoon due to El Nino poses a risk to inflation and rural demand, though economists believe the worst is over.
China has issued its highest flood alert in Guangxi province as a typhoon approaches. Authorities are urging local governments to enhance disaster prevention and relief efforts, with 70 monitoring stations on 55 rivers already exceeding warning levels. A central government task force has been dispatched to oversee the situation and coordinate rescue operations.
China has issued a red flood alert in the Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region as typhoon threats loom. Authorities are urging local governments to enhance disaster prevention and relief efforts, with a central government task force dispatched to monitor the situation and aid rescues.
China's local governments are urged to enhance disaster prevention and relief efforts as heavy rainfall causes 62 rivers to exceed flood warning levels. A landslide in Gansu province buried 33 people, with 21 rescued and five confirmed dead.
Kahve fiyatları, Güney Amerika ve Güneydoğu Asya'daki elverişsiz iklim koşulları ve El Nino etkisiyle son 6 ayın zirvesine ulaştı. Küresel stokların azalması endişesi fiyatları yukarı çekerken, uzmanlar bu trendin sürmesini bekliyor.
Arabica kahve vadeli işlemleri, artan sıcaklıklar ve El-Nino etkisiyle Temmuz 2000'den bu yana en sert yükselişini yaşayarak 3,57 dolara ulaştı. Stoklardaki daralma da fiyatları yukarı çekti.
A landslide in Gansu province, China, buried 33 people. 17 have been rescued, with emergency services on site. The area had been warned of heavy rain and potential geological disasters.
The UN FAO and WFP are seeking over $200 million to aid 8.8 million people in 22 high-risk countries facing the destructive El Niño weather pattern. The funds will support cash transfers, climate-resilient agriculture, and flood control measures amid escalating extreme weather events.
FAO and WFP seek over $200M to aid 8.8M in 22 high-risk countries facing El Niño. Support includes cash, seeds, and flood control. El Niño, a Pacific warming event, can cause varied extreme weather globally, with Africa facing drought or floods.
The UN's FAO and WFP seek over $200 million to protect 8.8 million in 22 high-risk countries from El Niño's destructive effects. Support includes cash, seeds, and flood control, as extreme weather exacerbates existing global fragilities.
A CREA analysis predicts El Nino will severely impact India's energy system, reducing renewable generation and increasing demand for air conditioning. This could lead to an 18 TWh generation gap, a surge in coal power, and significant CO2 emissions, highlighting the need for accelerated solar and battery deployment.
