Arthur Hayes argues that a Federal Reserve FIMA repo facility limit hike or rule expansion is the next key liquidity trigger needed to drive inflows into risk assets like Bitcoin, following recent Japanese yen interventions.
The US labor market unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, prompting market expectations of a softer Fed stance. Despite this, Bitcoin's technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, with a 'death cross' formation and neutral RSI, though a softer Fed and weak dollar could potentially aid a bull case.
Japan and the US's first joint yen intervention since 1998 may boost Bitcoin and risk assets by increasing global dollar liquidity, despite risks from unwinding yen carry trades and potential impacts on US Treasury markets.
Bitcoin dropped below $65,000 as rising oil prices, fueled by Red Sea tanker attacks and US threats against Iran, pushed Treasury yields higher and triggered a broader retreat from risk assets, impacting spot demand and ETF flows.
Bitcoin surged towards $66,000 as a US-Iran peace deal spurred risk assets higher, while oil prices dropped. Traders target $69,000, with whale investors establishing a floor near $60,000. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remains a key focus.
Bitcoin surged towards $67,000 as a potential US-Iran peace deal spurred a broader rally in risk assets, including US stocks. Traders remain cautious about further upside, focusing on liquidity grabs and potential price volatility.
Bitcoin surged towards $67,000 as a potential US-Iran peace deal spurred a rally in risk assets, including US stocks. Traders remain cautious, eyeing liquidity pockets and potential price volatility despite signs of demand recovery.
Bitcoin (BTC) surged towards $66,000 as a US-Iran peace deal spurred risk assets higher. Oil prices dropped, while US stock futures soared. Traders anticipate a short-term target of $69,000, supported by whale buying near $60,000, though overall demand weakness raises concerns.
Bitcoin price fell towards $72,000 after US military strikes on Iran pushed oil higher and sent shock through risk assets
Bitcoin's price will be tested by a series of macroeconomic events, including the release of CPI and PPI data, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, and a meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping.
Bitcoin faces 2026's densest macro test as CPI, Warsh, and Trump-Xi collide This week (May 11-15) has a credible claim to being the most consequential macro window of 2026 so far, as it compresses every channel currently driving risk assets into a single sequence. Inflation, producer costs, consumer demand, Fed liquidity, central bank leadership, trade […] The post This week Bitcoin faces as a new fed chair colliding with inflation in its biggest macro test of the year appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Bitcoin faced new volatility and a new struggle to reclaim $80,000 as Iran events added pressure to crypto and risk assets.
Japan has reportedly intervened with $35 billion to support the yen, aiming to curb weakness driven by a wide interest rate gap with the U.S. While the move caused a short-term dollar decline, analysts warn that the carry trade remains a risk to assets like Bitcoin.
The traditional Bitcoin playbook — that expanding global M2 drives capital into risk assets with crypto capturing disproportionate share — has broken down. While March 2026 US M2 printed at $22.7 trillion (up 4.6% YoY), Bitcoin failed to hold $76,000 as the transmission mechanism shifted from Fed balance sheet expansion to Treasury issuance, reserve management, and cash balance dynamics. Real Vision's Jamie Coutts argues the $60,000 zone represents a value floor, with the bull case requiring inflation cooling, Treasury cash declining, and reserves rebuilding. The bear case sees debt issuance overwhelming liquidity growth, forcing Bitcoin to trade as high-beta risk exposed to funding conditions.
Bitcoin may face a multi-month correction as Kevin Warsh takes over as Federal Reserve Chair. While liquidity trends suggest potential support, historical patterns and uncertainty regarding Warsh's policy stance on interest rates and balance sheet expansion create market volatility.
Bitcoin and risk assets faced an uphill struggle after the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs as analysis warned that BTC price support was at risk.
On Apr. 22, Bitcoin price registered an intraday high of $79,485 as broader risk assets bounced on relief from a ceasefire. On-chain data frames Bitcoin's (BTC) approach to $80,000 as a behavioral tripwire, a ceiling built from the breakeven psychology of recent buyers. Glassnode says BTC has reclaimed the True Market Mean at $78,100, a […] The post Bitcoin faces wall near $80k as recent buyers rush to get out as ceiling stays hot appeared first on CryptoSlate.
US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their largest single-day capital inflow since January on April 17, as the reopening of a critical Middle Eastern shipping route sparked a broader market rotation into risk assets. According to SoSoValue data, the 12 products drew approximately $664 million in fresh capital on April 17. The surge was […] The post US Bitcoin ETFs pull in $664M in largest daily inflow since January, because Iran reopened Hormuz for a few hours appeared first on CryptoSlate.
