US missile stocks, including long-range ATACMS and PrSM, are 'extremely low' after the conflict with Iran, potentially limiting President Trump's ability to order further strikes. Patriot and THAAD missile inventories have been significantly depleted.
China confirmed a ballistic missile test from a nuclear-powered submarine in the western Pacific, highlighting its growing sea-based nuclear deterrent. The test draws attention to China's Julang (JL) missile family, a key part of its nuclear triad.
A Lowy Institute report indicates China's capacity to strike Australia will increase substantially over the next decade, posing a strategic challenge. This includes interdicting trade, severing communications, cyber operations, and naval power projection.
A Lowy Institute report warns China's missile strike capability on Australia is growing due to expanded long-range missile arsenals, nuclear submarines, and advanced bombers, posing a real and increasing threat over the next decade.
The New York Times reports the US plans to significantly reduce aircraft and warships provided to NATO's European operations, potentially limiting the alliance's long-range strike and reconnaissance capabilities. The move includes cutting fighter jets, maritime patrol aircraft, and refueling tankers.
Japan's acquisition of up to 400 Tomahawk missiles may face a two-year delay due to US stockpile rebuilding efforts after operations against Iran. This setback could prompt Tokyo to seek a larger role in producing US-designed weapons.
Russia launched its Oreshnik missile at Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, two days after 18 Russian students died in a Ukrainian drone strike on Moscow. The Oreshnik, an IRBM capable of Mach 10 speeds and MIRV warheads, is seen as a retaliatory strike.
The US and Japan will conduct joint military exercises in June-July and September, featuring the deployment of the US Army's Typhon ground-based missile system to Kanoya Air Base in Japan. The system will be temporarily deployed for training and then moved to a US military base for storage, with plans to remove it by mid-October.
The US administration intends to drop plans to deploy long-range weapons, including Tomahawk missiles, to Germany, according to a Pentagon official cited by The Financial Times. The decision comes after President Trump announced a partial withdrawal of US troops from Germany, which followed German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's criticism of Washington's military campaign against Iran. Christian Moelling, director of the Berlin-based think-tank Edina, warned that while rotating out American troops was manageable, the cancellation of long-range strike capability creates a significant capability gap and questions US readiness to protect NATO allies. Washington and Berlin had announced the deployment plans in July 2025 under the Biden administration, with implementation expected by 2027.
