Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Peace Talks Break Down Again
Brent crude tops $108 as Goldman Sachs raises price forecasts amid stalled negotiations
L'essentiel
- Oil prices jumped over 3% on Monday as US-Iran peace negotiations collapsed, with Brent crude reaching $108.90 and WTI at $97.10.
- Goldman Sachs raised its price forecasts, expecting Brent to average $90 in Q4.
- President Trump canceled plans to send envoys to Pakistan for Iran talks, citing leadership confusion in Tehran.
Résumé généré par IA
Pourquoi c'est important
Oil prices have been volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil supply, with roughly 20% of the world's oil passing through it. Previous US-Iran negotiations had raised hopes for normalized energy flows.
Oil prices were higher on Monday morning as plans for a second round of peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran unraveled again. International benchmark Brent oil futures with June delivery rose more than 3% to $108.90 per barrel by 11:20 a.m. ET. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with June delivery added nearly 3% to $97.10. "Oil is trading stronger this morning after attempts to get US-Iran peace talks back on track broke down, erasing hopes for a resumption of energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz anytime soon," Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at Dutch bank ING, said in a research note. "The lack of progress means the market is tightening every day, requiring oil prices to reprice at higher levels," he added. Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, raised its oil price forecast on Sunday. Exports through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf production will take longer than expected to normalize, according to the bank. Goldman now expects Brent prices to average $90 per barrel in the fourth quarter, compared to $80 under the bank's previous forecast. It expects West Texas Intermediate to average $83 per barrel, compared to $75 prior. Though uncertainty looms large, Iran has offered a new proposal to the U.S. for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the war while suggesting that nuclear talks be deferred, Axios reported Monday, citing a U.S. official and two sources with knowledge of the matter. President Donald Trump on Saturday canceled plans to send U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Islamabad, Pakistan, for negotiations with Iran. "Too much time wasted on traveling, too much work! Besides which, there is tremendous infighting and confusion within their 'leadership,'" Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social. "Nobody knows who is in charge, including them," the president said. "Also, we have all the cards; they have none! If they want to talk, all they have to do is call!!!" Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi traveled to Islamabad over the weekend but met only with Pakistani officials before leaving. "No meeting is planned to take place between Iran and the U.S.," Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei said in a social media post late Friday.
À surveiller
Perspective IA — des possibilités, pas des certitudes
Oil prices will remain elevated in the near term as diplomatic channels remain closed
Probable · En quelques semaines
US-Iran negotiations unlikely to resume in coming weeks
Probable · En quelques semaines
Further oil price increases possible if Hormuz flows are disrupted
Possible · En quelques mois
Questions ouvertes
- What specific proposal did Iran offer?
- Will there be future attempts at negotiation?
- How will this affect global oil supply chains?





