
路透社監控報告顯示,8月一艘中國民兵船與兩艘其他船隻在台灣東部太平洋海域現蹤,為該敏感海域首次發現此類船隻。台灣人工智慧實驗室創辦人杜奕瑾指出,三船可能協同進行海底纜線偵查與切割,並質疑其在花蓮外海暫停是否與台籍漁船補給有關,強調東部海域海纜雖具韌性但仍有暴露風險。
AI-generated summary
台灣西部海域海底深度淺,易受漁船拖錨切割海纜的灰色攻擊,因此與國際合作在東部海域加強海纜韌性,但東部海域雖深度快速下降,仍有海底山脈使海纜暴露於風險。
《路透》查閱的一份監控報告顯示,今年8月,一艘中國民兵船與另外2艘船隻共同出現在台灣東部太平洋海域。這是該敏感海域首度發現此類船隻蹤跡。對此,台灣人工智慧實驗室創辦人杜奕瑾表示,中共三船合一,台灣東部海纜的灰色攻擊,至於為何會暫停在花蓮外海,可以注意是否有台籍漁船補給接應。
杜奕瑾在臉書PO文表示,把海底深度地圖、以及海纜地圖重疊,就可以知道這三種船在做什麼?沿著台灣東部海域的淺水區,偽漁船、負責攻擊:民兵船下錨切割海纜、海研船、負責找尋:調查海底深度以及找海纜、海警、負責防禦:驅逐靠近船隻。
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杜奕瑾指出,台灣由於西部海域海底深度淺,可以用灰色攻擊切割海纜,於是數發部與國際合作,在東部海域建立了海纜登陸點加強海纜韌性。東部海域因為離開台灣沒多遠海底深度就快速下降,一般船沒有辦法藉由拖錨切割海纜,但是東部海域海底也有山脈,海纜也是會越過這些海底的高山而暴露,就有機會藉由拖錨切斷。
杜奕瑾續指,可以看得到在地圖上面「東西向以及南北向的海中山脈淺水區,有多條國際海纜經過」,就是這三船合作來回尋找攻擊的地區,至於為何會暫停在花蓮外海,可以注意是否有台籍漁船補給接應,由於西部海纜平凡遭到中國漁船灰色攻擊,台灣東部為海纜韌性重要機制,近年有TPU、AUG East兩個計劃。
杜奕瑾補充,TPU是Taiwan–Philippines–U.S.縮寫,連接台灣、菲律賓與美國。台灣端位於台東大武。另一條AUG East,在宜蘭、台東雙登陸,連接東北亞與東南亞。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台灣將加強東部海域海纜監控與巡邏
Likely · Within weeks
中國可能繼續使用民兵船進行灰色攻擊偵查
Possible · Within months

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