
Weng Zhenzhou’s analysis: The Kuomintang went all out to rescue Jiang Wanan and had no time to take into account the New Taipei election situation
AI-generated summary
Mirror News commissioned Dadi Public Opinion Research Co., Ltd. to conduct the New Taipei City mayoral election poll. The survey period was November 1 to 2, 2026. The interview targets were people with registered residence in New Taipei City and over the age of 20. Local telephone interviews were used, and telephone numbers were selected according to the population ratio of each administrative district in New Taipei City. A total of 1,087 valid samples were completed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was plus or minus 2.97 percentage points.
"Mirror News" announced today the latest poll for the New Taipei City mayoral election. DPP mayoral candidate Su Qiaohui's support is significantly ahead of KMT mayoral candidate Li Sichuan by 14.9 percentage points. New Taipei City Councilor Weng Zhenzhou of the Democratic Progressive Party analyzed that the Kuomintang was busy clinging to Taipei and striving for the smooth re-election of Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan. Unexpectedly, the "ocean current" spilled over to New Taipei. Su Qiaohui was so powerful that the blue camp had no time to care about Li's election. New Taipei was about to fall, and its power to govern might not be guaranteed.
Weng Zhenzhou said that Taipei City and New Taipei City have always been the top priority in previous elections. Originally, the Kuomintang thought that Chiang Wanan was a sure winner this time, but they did not know that Li Sichuan's support in New Taipei City could not be boosted. Another "ocean current" swept through Taipei City, causing the focus of the media, the focus of public opinion, and the main battlefield to all return to Taipei City. The Kuomintang was busy consolidating Chiang Wanan's election, and had no spare power to help Li Sichuan.
Weng Zhenzhou said that Jiang Wanan faced Shen Boyang's strong offensive, which caused a fire in the backyard. The wildfire still burns and cannot be extinguished. It was originally expected that the DPP would introduce Shen Boyang in the hope of "not losing too much." Unexpectedly, after comparing the two candidates, Shen Boyang unexpectedly emerged. Since then, just like eating sugar cane, Jiang Wanan has continued to be at a disadvantage, allowing this "ocean current" to spill over to other counties and cities, boosting the momentum of DPP candidates, especially Li Sichuan, who was Jiang Wanan's deputy mayor. New Taipei was the first to bear the brunt, making Li Sichuan's voice even more depressed.
Weng Zhenzhou pointed out that Chiang Wanan was regarded as one of the "co-leaders" of the blue camp in the past. When Taipei City experienced successive municipal failures, Chiang Wanan lacked the ability to handle crises and his popularity began to decline. The candidates of the blue camp were also affected. The Kuomintang now "the whole party saves one person" ” It would be great to be able to keep Chiang Wanan’s re-election. There is no time and resources to invest in the New Taipei City auxiliary election, because for the Kuomintang, Taipei City is a territory that cannot be lost. Seeing that New Taipei has fallen, Li Sichuan’s reputation has plummeted, and he can only seek blessings for himself.
"Mirror News" commissioned Dadi Public Opinion Research Co., Ltd. to conduct the poll. The host is Weng Shaohuan, general manager of Dadi Public Opinion Research Company. The entrusting unit and funding source are "Mirror News". The survey time will be November 1 to 2, 2026. The interviewees are households. People registered in New Taipei City and over 20 years old were interviewed using local telephone numbers, and telephone numbers were selected according to the population ratio of each administrative district in New Taipei City. A total of 1,087 valid samples were completed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was plus or minus 2.97 percentage points.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Kuomintang will concentrate resources to rescue Chiang Wanan, Taipei mayor, for re-election. It is difficult for New Taipei City's Li Sichuan election to obtain additional support.
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