
氣象專家吳德榮指出,今起至週日水氣增多,北部山區及東北部有較大雨勢;下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫明顯下降,迎風面有較大雨勢;下週三、四清晨氣溫很低,日夜溫差大。第26號輕颱「彩雲」強度持續增強,但路徑偏北,對台無直接影響。
AI-generated summary
氣象專家吳德榮在氣象應用推廣基金會專欄發文,預測台灣未來一週天氣變化,包括水氣增多、東北季風增強及輕颱「彩雲」路徑。
吳德榮指出,今起至週日水氣增多,北部山區及東北部有較大雨勢,下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫將明顯下降,且迎風面有較大雨勢,下週三、四清晨氣溫很低、日夜溫差大。(資料照)
氣象專家指出,今起至週日水氣增多,北部山區及東北部有較大雨勢,下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫將明顯下降,且迎風面有較大雨勢,下週三、四清晨氣溫很低、日夜溫差大。至於第26號輕颱「彩雲」強度將持續增強,不過未來路徑偏北,對台應無直接影響。
中央大學大氣系兼任副教授吳德榮今在「氣象應用推廣基金會」專欄撰文指出,今起至週日水氣增多,北部、東半部有局部短暫雨、山區午後亦有局部短暫降雨的機率;今、明北部山區及東北部有較大雨勢。北、東氣溫略降,中南部白天仍偏熱、各地早晚略偏涼。各地區氣溫如下:北部22至33度、中部22至35度、南部23至35度、東部22至34度。
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吳德榮表示,下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫明顯下降(不過與「大陸冷氣團」還差得遠),北台轉涼;下週一迎風面轉有雨、有較大雨勢,下週二水氣漸減,迎風面降雨漸減少。下週三、四迎風面轉多雲時晴、背風面晴朗穩定,白天舒適、清晨氣溫很低、日夜溫差大;山區午後及東半部偶有局部短暫降雨的機率。
吳德榮提到,根據氣象署預測顯示,第26號輕颱「彩雲」在關島北方海面,未來轉北而行,朝日本東方海面前進,強度續增強、範圍持續擴大。最新歐洲模擬顯示,「彩雲」將發展為大型颱風;模擬路徑大致以偏北機率最高,無侵台機率。模式將繼續調整其「不確定性」,應持續觀察。
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫將明顯下降,迎風面有較大雨勢。
Likely · Within days
下週三、四清晨氣溫很低,日夜溫差大。
Likely · Within days
第26號輕颱「彩雲」將持續增強強度,但路徑偏北,對台無直接影響。
Possible · Within weeks

Lin De'en, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, said that the northeast monsoon will strengthen from today, with brief showers in the northern, northeastern and eastern regions, and the high temperature will drop slightly; the temperature in the central and southern parts will not drop significantly, and sporadic rainfall will mainly occur in the afternoon. The central and northern regions, Penghu, and Matsu areas have a chance of average winds above level 5 to 6 or gusts above level 7 to 8. Wave heights in the northern seas of Taiwan and the northern Taiwan Strait increased to about 1.5 to 2.5 meters. The northeast monsoon will weaken slightly tomorrow and the next two days, and the wave height will drop to 1 to 1.5 meters or less. The northeast monsoon will intensify again next Monday with greater intensity.

From October 2 to 8, cold air will actively affect our country. Temperatures in many places will reach record lows. The maximum temperature in some parts of Northeast China is less than 15℃, and the maximum temperature from North China to Jiangnan is around 20℃. The high temperature in South China has eased. It is rainy in the south, with heavy rainfall in Guizhou, Hunan and other places, and increasing rainfall in North and Northeast China. People need to pay attention to traffic safety when traveling during the National Day.

The strengthening of the northeast monsoon affects Taiwan. The Yilan area has a long-lasting and large-scale rainfall with local heavy rain chances. The chance of rainfall increases in the north of Taoyuan and Hualien. It is cloudy to sunny in other areas. There are brief showers in the mountainous areas in the afternoon. The air quality in the northern and central areas and other places is average level. Bamboo seedlings, Yilan, Huadong and Matsu are rated as good.

The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that today will be sunny to cloudy in various places, with scattered brief showers in the south and mountainous areas in the afternoon. The northeast monsoon will strengthen tomorrow, with showers and localized heavy rains in the northeast, and localized short-lived showers in greater Taipei. The northeast monsoon weakened on Saturday but there was still moisture on the windward side. The weather was relatively stable on Sunday, with only localized brief showers on the windward side and in the southern mountainous areas in the afternoon. Another wave of northeast monsoon will strengthen next Monday. This year's No. 26 typhoon "Caiyun" has formed at 2 a.m. today, with a central pressure of 998 hPa. It will move towards Japan and will have no impact on Taiwan's weather.

During the National Day holiday, most areas across the country have good weather conditions and are suitable for travel. It will be mainly sunny to cloudy in the north, and there will be precipitation in North and Northeast China; it will rain first and then become clear in the south, and the rain will be stronger in the southwest. The meteorological department reminded that urban traffic pressure in Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Hunan and other places will be severe. There will be heavy to heavy rains in Fujian, Hunan, Chongqing, Guizhou and other places, and some highways will be slippery and prone to water accumulation. The two waves of cold air relay influence, the coolness in the north becomes more intense, and the heat in the south subsides. In the second half of the Yangtze River, the temperature drops to about 15℃ in the morning and evening.

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science at Central University, pointed out that it will turn to rain in the northern and eastern half of the country from tomorrow to next Sunday, and it will become cooler and the temperature will drop significantly in northern Taiwan next Monday and Tuesday; Light Typhoon Colorful Cloud No. 26 formed over the sea northeast of Guam early this morning and is expected to develop into a large typhoon and head toward the sea southeast of Japan and will not invade Taiwan.