Han Kuo-yu will arrive at the Kaohsiung platform. Yin Li: He may lock Ke Zhien in the stratosphere
Quick Look
- Kuomintang Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Ke Zhien will go to Xiaogang, the home district of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ruilong, on October 17 to build momentum and invite Legislative Yuan Han Guoyu to help.
- Yin Li, a candidate for city council in Zuonan District of the Democratic Progressive Party, analyzed that the emergence of Han Kuo-yu is a double-edged sword gamble for Ke Zhien: although it can stimulate the emotional mobilization of dark blue and Korean fans, it may also strengthen the anti-Korean sentiment of middle voters, and virtually lock Ke Zhien in the blue camp stratosphere, which is detrimental to his election strategy of expanding to the middle or light green voters.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Kaohsiung mayoral election is underway, with fierce competition between Kuomintang candidate Ke Zhien and Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ruilong. Kaohsiung launched a campaign to recall former mayor Han Kuo-yu, leaving a deep political memory. The blue camp hopes to use Han Kuo-yu's appeal to boost the election, but is worried that his negative image will mobilize opposition forces.
On October 17, Kuomintang Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Ke Zhien will go straight to Xiaogang, the home district of his opponent, Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Lai Ruilong, and also invited Legislative Yuan Han Guoyu to help; Yin Li, one of the four gentlemen who dismissed Han and DPP Zuonan District City Council candidate, analyzed that inviting Hanguo Yu to the Ke camp is a double-edged sword gamble, which may lock Ke Zhien in the blue camp stratosphere.
As for Han Kuo-yu’s first appearance at Ke Zhien’s home stadium, Yin Li’s analysis accurately reflects the blue camp’s collective anxiety and gamble in Kaohsiung. For Ke Zhien’s camp, inviting Han Kuo-yu is a double-edged gamble.
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He analyzed that Hanguo-yu still has irreplaceable emotional mobilization power within the blue camp, especially among the deep blue and Korean fans. In traditional election tactics, this kind of "emotional resonance" is the fastest and most effective strategy to stimulate the turnout of the basic base.
But the problem is that Kaohsiung is a city that has been baptized by the "recall vote". The political memory represented by the three characters Han Kuo-yu is also a huge mobilizing energy for the median voters. When Han Kuo-yu stands on the podium, it is tantamount to giving a "no-vote reminder" with his own hands.
Yin Li believes that this same event also exposed Ke Zhien's biggest electoral bottleneck in Kaohsiung, which is "insufficient expansion power." Since Kaohsiung's political map has been "half green and blue" for many years, if Ke Zhien wants to break the deadlock, he must expand to the middle or even the light green spectrum.
However, when the focus of the campaign returned to Han Kuo-yu again, media reports were overwhelmingly about "Korean-Yu", "Deep Blue's Return", and "Korean Fans Reunion", which not only overshadowed Ke Zhien's own policy discussion, but also invisibly locked her in the blue stratosphere.
For Kaohsiung citizens, this "same frame" is not only an election campaign, but also a test of political memory and value. The Blue Camp hopes that "time will dilute the image of Korean straw bags, but retain the enthusiasm." However, a considerable proportion of Kaohsiung citizens firmly believe that "political responsibility and historical memory cannot be erased."
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
After Ke Zhien builds momentum in Xiaogang, his support among voters will become polarized. Some voters will lean more toward the blue camp because of Han Kuo-yu's support, while others will stay away due to anti-Korean sentiment.
Likely · Within weeks
The blue camp will continue to review the actual effect of Han Kuo-yu’s support after the election, and may adjust its strategy for using controversial figures in future elections.
Possible · Within months
Open Questions
- Can Ke Zhien increase his support among the middle voters after building momentum in Xiaogang?
- Will Han Kuo-yu's support actually increase Ke Zhien's vote count?
- How will Lai Ruilong's camp respond to the Blue Camp's campaign in Xiaogang?
- Have Kaohsiung citizens’ attitudes toward Han Kuo-yu’s political memory changed over time?
