Shen Boyang was sweeping the streets at Ziqiang Market in Beitou District on the 13th to ask for votes, and the market was packed with supporters. (File photo)
The latest New Taipei City mayoral poll shows that Li Sichuan of the blue camp is 13 percentage points behind his opponent Su Qiaohui, causing worries within the blue camp. KMT election assistants bluntly said that if Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan continues to be manipulated by the "ocean current" and the spillover effects are allowed to spread, it will of course have an impact on the elections in other counties and cities. "This year's decisive battle will take place in Taipei!"
Election auxiliary people said that local elections have always been dominated by spillover effects. In 2018, Han Kuo-yu's spillover led to the KMT's victory, and Zheng Wencan's negative spillover led to the DPP's defeat. Therefore, spillover news is particularly likely to occur in local elections, and of course this year's election is no exception.
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"The current is indeed coming! This is a fact you can't avoid." This person said that the current is what makes the Green Camp enthusiastic. Originally, there were only 40% of supporters in Taipei. The green camp is their floor. Originally, these 40% had no voice, but the current gives them a voice. "40% of Taipei people have a voice, and that is a very loud voice." Even if the current is not strong enough to allow winning voices to come out.
This person said that the loud sound of the ocean current will make the other side scared when hearing it, and the sound will become smaller. Although whether the ocean current breaks the circle is a question in the second stage, Shen Boyang now dares his supporters to stand up, and also makes Lan's supporters frightened by his momentum. This is the first stage of a close-quarters battle, much like a general recall.
Supporters pointed out that at the beginning of the general recall, the green people were very excited and the blue people were very scared. However, in the second stage of the general recall, the blue people came out and the sense of duel emerged. As the dominance of green increases, the dominance of blue decreases. There is usually a cycle after the decline, and it will rise again after experiencing a trough. However, election auxiliary people also said that there are only 40 days left in the election, so the biggest challenge for the blue camp is to reach the trough of enthusiasm or expression, and then move up. "But for this move up, you have to be able to pull it up before the election."
Blue camp people: The decisive battle between New Taipei and Taipei? Jiang Wanan must guard against the spread of ocean currents
"I think the decisive battle will take place in Taipei!" Party insiders said that if Chiang Wanan keeps the current from spreading today, the spillover effect of the current will not come out; but if Chiang Wanan is continued to be manipulated by the current and the spillover effect is allowed to spread, of course it will have an impact on the election in other places.
Party insiders said that originally one of the factors in the spillover effect was "Chiang Wanan's positive spillover effect," but now Chiang Wanan has to defend himself, so this is the success of the first step of the DPP's strategy. "We must work hard to prevent him from succeeding in the second step. This battle in Taipei is the top priority of this year's election."
This person said that the decisive battle in Taipei is not a retreat mentality, but another opportunity. If Taipei wins well, it can stop the DPP's offensive and create positive spillover across the country. There are still 40 days left. We must arouse the sense of crisis, urge the supporters out, and achieve a beautiful victory in this battle. "Only in order to reverse the impact that the momentum brought by the previous ocean current may have on the election", we need to work harder.
