Russian grain exports may decrease by 1.6 times at the beginning of the agricultural year

Based on the results of July-September 2026, the total volumes of Russian grain exports may decrease by 1.6 times compared to the same period in 2025. This forecast was given by the head of the ProZerno company, Vladimir Petrichenko, as quoted by Interfax.

During the reporting period, he expects, domestic farmers will send a total of 8.5 million tons of grain to foreign markets. For comparison, a year earlier the figure was 14 million. Thus, if Petrichenko’s forecast comes true, Russian grain exports at the beginning of the 2026/27 agricultural year will drop by 5.5 million tons.

The dynamics will be affected primarily by difficulties with grain shipments through the Azov-Black Sea basin. The shutdown of a number of main transshipment facilities, primarily in Novorossiysk, explained Petrichenko, will affect the overall grain exports from Russia.

Problems with the sea export of Russian grain are being recorded against the backdrop of increasing attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU). Against this background, the Russian government planned to allocate 10 billion rubles from the budget.