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Back美国10年期国债收益率升至2007年以来最高水平
美国10年期国债收益率升至2007年以来最高水平
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中国新闻网1 hour agoBusiness1 min readChinaView translation

美国10年期国债收益率升至2007年以来最高水平

Quick Look

受通胀担忧和美联储加息预期推动,美国10年期国债收益率15日升至5.045%,为2007年7月以来最高水平;30年期收益率一度升至5.402%,为2007年6月以来高点。市场预计美联储将在16日议息会议上宣布加息25个基点的概率超过90%。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美国通胀持续偏高,市场预期美联储将继续加息以控制通胀,国债收益率作为重要利率基准,其走势直接影响抵押贷款、汽车贷款和消费信贷成本。

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由于通胀形势持续引发市场担忧和美国联邦储备委员会加息预期推动,美国10年期国债收益率在15日凌晨升至5.045%,为2007年7月以来的最高水平。

数据显示,美国10年期国债收益率在当日早间有所回落,但整体维持在5%上方。美国30年期国债收益率当日一度升至5.402%,为2007年6月以来高点。

芝加哥商品交易所美联储观察工具15日发布的信息显示,美联储将在16日结束的议息会议上宣布加息25个基点的概率超过90%。

由于10年期国债收益率与住房抵押贷款、汽车贷款和信用卡贷款利率联系紧密,美国国债市场最新走势引发广泛担忧。

美国盈透证券首席市场分析师史蒂夫·索斯尼克表示,简单来说,油价上涨推高通胀预期,油价下跌压低通胀预期。通常情况下,两者的关联不会像现在这么清晰,但目前油价和全球通胀形势都受到地缘政治驱动,导致两者的相关性显著增强。(央视新闻客户端)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美联储将在16日议息会议上宣布加息25个基点

    Very likely · Within hours

Open Questions

  • 美联储此次加息后是否还会继续紧缩
  • 国债收益率何时会触顶并回落
  • 高利率环境对美国经济增长的具体影响程度

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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