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Back法国10年期国债收益率突破5% 创下2002年以来新高
法国10年期国债收益率突破5% 创下2002年以来新高
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中国新闻网2 hours agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

法国10年期国债收益率突破5% 创下2002年以来新高

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法国10年期国债收益率21日突破5%,创2002年以来新高。受公共财政困境、预算审议僵局及债务规模攀升影响,法国政府借贷成本持续承压,市场正密切关注穆迪即将做出的主权信用评级决定。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

法国公共债务已逼近3.6万亿欧元,占GDP比重达119%。政府正试图通过节支计划减少赤字,但面临议会审议阻力。

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中新社巴黎10月21日电 (记者 李洋)法国10年期国债收益率21日突破5%的重要关口,创下2002年以来新高。

法国国债收益率在过去数周持续攀升。分析人士普遍认为,法国公共财政的困境、预算审议面临的僵局及抗议活动期间发生的暴力冲突等多种因素助推国债收益率走高。

国债收益率持续上升不仅意味着法国政府借贷成本受到影响,也意味着企业和家庭的借贷成本可能会随之上升。

法国10年期国债与德国10年期国债之间的收益率利差也在扩大,一度接近160个基点。国际评级机构穆迪本周末将就法国的主权信用评级做出决定,如果评级被下调,将可能进一步助推政府借贷成本上升。

法国国家统计和经济研究所数据显示,截至今年第二季度末,法国公共债务逼近3.6万亿欧元,相当于国内生产总值的119%,与今年第一季度相比进一步上升。法国政府面临的财政压力持续增大。

法国2027年预算草案目前正在国民议会进行审议,法国官方此前已确认540亿欧元节支计划,旨在努力减少财政赤字。但从审议进程来看,相关节支计划目前难以获得议会多数支持。即使该预算案最终获得通过,法国2027年的赤字水平也只能降至国内生产总值的5%,仍明显高于欧盟设定的3%赤字上限。

法国政府计划在2027年发行总额约3400亿欧元的中长期债券,其中相当一部分发债资金将用于偿还到期债务。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 穆迪将于本周末决定法国主权信用评级

    Very likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 穆迪是否会下调法国主权信用评级?
  • 法国政府能否在议会通过节支预算案?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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