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Back111套海馬士2030年全數到位 前推澎湖東引火力直達中國內陸
111套海馬士2030年全數到位 前推澎湖東引火力直達中國內陸
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自由时报2 hours agoDefense3 min readChinaView translation

111套海馬士2030年全數到位 前推澎湖東引火力直達中國內陸

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國軍向美國採購的M142「海馬士」多管火箭系統總數擴增至111套,預計2030年起全數到位。軍方評估將部分系統前推部署至澎湖與東引,搭配射程300公里的ATACMS飛彈,建立跨海源頭反介入打擊能力,與國造雷霆2000形成雙層不對稱火網。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

國軍建構第一島鏈精準飛彈島的戰略布局,正進行關鍵轉型。M142「海馬士」多管火箭系統向美國分批採購,增購預算與發價書已全數落定,總採購數量達111套,預計2030年起全數到位抵台。

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M142「海馬士」多管火箭系統,在增購預算與發價書全數塵埃落定後,總採購數量高達111套,預計將在2030年起全數到位抵台。圖為國軍在飛彈射擊操演期間,實彈發射海馬士多管火箭系統的精準火箭。(資料照)

〔記者羅添斌/台北報導〕國軍建構第一島鏈精準飛彈島的戰略布局,正迎來翻天覆地的關鍵轉型!我國向美國分批採購的M142「海馬士」多管火箭系統,在增購預算與發價書全數塵埃落定後,總採購數量高達111套,預計將在2030年起全數到位抵台。軍方人士透露,本島西部各軍團完成換裝後,未來反擊火網勢必會進一步「前推部署」至澎湖及東引等關鍵外島防區。這項部署調整將打破傳統的守勢思維,直接建立跨海源頭反介入的打擊能力,對中共東部戰區的沿海設施形成實質的戰略威懾。

在「攻擊就是最有效防禦」的指導原則下,這批增購的海馬士多管火箭,最大核心戰力就在於隨車配備的ATACMS陸軍戰術區域飛彈,其射程高達300公里。軍方高層評估,如果只將高達111套的海馬士系統全數塞在台灣本島,雖然火力重疊度高,但無法完全發揮這款神兵利器的精準縱深壓制特性。唯有透過外島兵力編裝翻轉,將一定數量的海馬士系統常駐在澎湖與國之北疆的東引,才能把不對稱擊殺鏈向前大幅推移,直接反制來自中國東南沿海源頭的第一波威脅。

根據軍方目前的防衛作戰規劃,若將海馬士前推到澎湖,以澎湖群島距離中國福建沿岸僅約120至140公里的地理優勢來看,300公里的戰術飛彈可以輕鬆跨海、深達對岸內陸150公里以上。屆時中共位於泉州、廈門、漳州一帶的登陸集結點、軍港與主要城市,都將直接籠罩在我方的精準攻擊火網之下。這意味著未來共軍的兩棲船團在準備「出港初期」,甚至還沒跨出海峽中線,國軍就有能力直接在源頭實施點殺與摧毀,大幅提升台灣本島的戰略預警時間。

此外,位處最前沿、位置最敏感的東引地區指揮部,同樣是海馬士前推部署的評估規劃位置。一旦海馬士進駐東引,300公里的射程不僅能就近牽制解放軍位於福州的空軍基地與霞浦、三都澳等軍港,火力觸角甚至還能向北直達浙江溫州、台州等東部戰區的海軍基地。當2030年全數111套海馬士在全台與關鍵離島化整為零、全面戰備後,這股神出鬼沒的攻勢飛彈戰力,將迫使共軍沿海的第一線演訓基地與補給據點,為了戰場活存率而不得不往後撤離至少100公里以上。

未來在外島編裝結構上,海馬士也將與各離島現役的國造雷霆2000多管火箭系統進行長短互補。由雷霆2000負責45公里內的近海灘岸面殺傷,而海馬士則專責70公里到300公里外的跨海源頭拒止,兩者聯手在外島建構出天衣無縫的雙層不對稱火網。隨著海馬士111套系統與超過500枚戰術飛彈將在2030年陸續到位,外島戰略定位正式從「固守防衛」轉變為「攻勢威嚇」,美製與國造裝備的協同聯防,已實質重創了共軍進犯台灣南部與西部的戰術算計。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 海馬士系統將在2030年前陸續部署至澎湖與東引等外島

    Likely · Within years

  • 中共沿海第一線演訓基地與補給據點將往後撤離至少100公里

    Possible · Within years

Open Questions

  • 增購預算的具體金額是多少?
  • 海馬士系統將如何在澎湖與東引的具體部署時間表?
  • ATACMS戰術飛彈的採購數量與交付進度如何?
  • 外島部署海馬士系統的具體防禦作戰規劃細節為何?

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