
AI-generated summary
The New Taipei City mayoral election will be held at the end of this year, and both the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang have nominated candidates. Although Su Qiaohui was well-known and well-liked before, her support was insufficient. Recently, she has tried to increase her support by strengthening grassroots contact and communicating her values.
The People's Association released the latest poll for the New Taipei City mayoral election today (13th). Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei City mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, leads the Kuomintang candidate Li Sichuan with 43.1% support and 30.0%. The large gap has triggered discussion. In an exclusive interview after the poll was released, Su Qiaohui said she was "very shocked" and "is this like this? Is this true?" She was wary of fear. When asked whether she was affected by the Taipei mayoral election, Su Qiaohui said that she and party Taipei mayor candidate Shen Boyang have similar directions and values, and the election situation has created a linkage. They adhere to a positive election campaign to expound their vision and strive for recognition. Of course, the KMT camp will also link up. It was the blue camp that first played the linkage card and called for "co-governance." However, she does not agree that New Taipei must maintain its own subjectivity.
Su Qiaohui accepted an exclusive interview with media personality Huang Guangqin on Huiliu News Network's "Come to Hui at Noon" this afternoon, and the topic focused on the polls of the People's Association. Su Qiaohui said frankly, "I'm quite shocked." The winning number means that she has been affirmed, and of course she will be happy. However, she is also surprised and feels that she should be cautious and fearful. She must wait until the votes are released to know the results. She respects and refers to every poll. The improvement area is to strengthen the recognition of weaker ethnic groups. For a long time in the past, although she has popularity and favorability, there is no way to convert it into support. She has used this method to improve, and it seems to be effective, and she will continue to work hard.
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Is the new poll widening the gap affected by the "gathering of ocean currents"? Su Qiaohui believes that this is a trend that has exploded in recent weeks, so it must have an impact. For example, Shen Boyang's car sweeps and the two's union in Sanxia and Xinzhuang have all brought unprecedented popularity. New Taipei has a multiplication effect, and it is also because she and Shen Boyang have similar values and directions, "So we can "We have been good friends for more than 20 years." Both of them responded to the election campaign and stated their visions with a warm and sunny attitude. They started from their respective cities and emphasized subjectivity. The two norths are closely linked. If the same wind blows from both sides, the cyclone will stir faster and better, so they have won the recognition of more and more people.
Huang Guangqin asked, about 40% of New Taipei people are looking forward to "changing the party for a while". Is it affected by Li Sichuan's age, personality and other factors? A new poll from the People's Association shows that the Kuomintang is sounding the alarm in both north and south. Should the DPP be wary of "overdoing it"?
Su Qiaohui emphasized that "the number on the cake" is by no means an obstacle to a person's ability to do things. The key point is whether attitudes and concepts can be in line with the generations. If they can, they will be considered young and energetic. Candidates will be judged by the voters. In the end, it still depends on the voting results. There are more than 40 days left, and the pace and speed cannot be changed. She will continue to strengthen. They are not ahead in the polls conducted by the KMT. "We must make sure that we are ahead even in the KMT polls." She will continue to use new methods and new concepts to promote the vision and New Taipei characteristics.
When Su Qiaohui was asked about "Bravely Entering the Different Temperature" with Shen Boyang, she laughed and said that she originally hoped to seize the opportunity to tell more people about her vision. "I am also looking forward to variety shows" and looking forward to invitations to talk variety shows.
This poll was commissioned by the Trustees Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted telephone interviews. From October 6 to October 8, the survey targets were people registered in New Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,073 people were successfully interviewed (750 people on residential phones and 323 people on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% was ±3.0%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Su Qiaohui will continue to strengthen grassroots visits and policy explanations during the remaining campaign period to consolidate and expand the support base
Likely · Within weeks
The election situation in the two cities will continue to have a positive linkage effect and increase the voting intention of voters in the two cities.
Possible · Within weeks

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Polling expert Dai Li'an pointed out that some blue-leaning media polls showed that Li Sichuan of the Kuomintang was ahead of Su Qiaohui of the DPP by 6.7 percentage points, but this was actually caused by the incorrect use of 2018 "Korean Wave" data weighting. His latest poll showed that Su Qiaohui's support was 43.1%, Li Sichuan was 30.0%, and Su Qiaohui was ahead by 13.1 percentage points. He suggested that predictions should be made based on the results of the 2024 regional legislative election rather than outdated data.