Back外資賣不停!新台幣一度重貶逾2角 尾盤央行調節守住32.5元價位
外資賣不停!新台幣一度重貶逾2角  尾盤央行調節守住32.5元價位
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自由时报3 hours agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

外資賣不停!新台幣一度重貶逾2角 尾盤央行調節守住32.5元價位

外資持續賣超台股、熱錢匯出,新台幣兌美元匯率盤中一度重貶逾2角,尾盤央行調節守住32.5元價位。

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外資持續賣超台股及熱錢匯出,新台幣兌美元匯率盤中一度重貶破32.7元創逾18個月新低。午後出口商拋匯及央行調節使跌幅收斂,終場收在32.592元、貶值1.14角。

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Why It Matters

外資持續賣超台股及亞股受美股科技股財報影響走跌,引發新台幣貶壓。

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新台幣一度重貶逾2角,尾盤央行調節守住32.5元價位。

外資持續賣超台股、熱錢匯出,新台幣兌美元匯率今日盤中一度重貶逾2角,跌破32.7元關卡,創逾18個月新低,惟盤中傳出央行放寬先前對出口商拋匯限額的規定,加上尾盤央行再度調節,午後匯價跌幅收斂,終場收在32.592元、貶值1.14角,總成交量30.78億美元。

英特爾財測不如預期,加上亞馬遜財報加深市場對AI龐大投資支出及現金流的疑慮,美股上週五重挫,連動台股今日跳空開低。隨後美股期指反彈,亞洲股市跌勢收斂,韓股更上演V型反轉,但台股終場仍下跌291.69點,收在44920.14點。三大法人合計賣超526.91億元,其中外資續賣超735.2億元。

新台幣今日一早即面臨沉重貶壓,主要是消化上週五外資賣超台股逾千億元後的匯出需求,匯價接連失守32.5元、32.6元及32.7元三道關卡,最低觸及32.714元、重貶2.36角。午後隨出口商進場拋匯,美元供給增加,貶壓逐漸緩解,尾盤在央行調節下,收盤重返32.5元價位。

匯銀人士指出,今日不僅新台幣走弱,韓元盤中也一度急貶,後續走勢關鍵仍在市場對AI科技股的信心何時回穩,以及外資賣股、匯出動向,由於本週還有美國期中選舉等變數,金融市場波動可能加劇,短線先看32.8元關卡是否有守,一旦跌破不排除往33元靠攏,32字頭岌岌可危。

不過匯銀人士也提到,出口商手上滿滿美元,若看好現在價位,為支應年底發放獎金等新台幣需求,也不排除提前進場拋匯。目前來看,央行持續秉持「柳樹理論」操作、調節匯市。

本週市場除聚焦美國期中選舉,也將密切關注科技企業財報,以及週五公布的10月非農就業報告。其中,科技企業財報是檢驗AI投資能否轉化為營收與獲利的重要依據,將牽動台股走勢及外資動向。

根據央行統計,截至下午4點,美元指數小漲0.04%。主要亞幣以韓元重挫0.71%、表現最弱,新台幣貶值0.35%,日圓及新加坡幣分別下跌0.13%、0.08%,僅人民幣逆勢升值0.15%。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 短線新台幣匯率可能測試32.8元關卡

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 外資未來是否會持續大量匯出?
  • 央行後續防守32.8元關卡的力度為何?

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